New York · May 2026 briefing

New York Crime Rate Trends

Data sourced from the New York City Police Department (NYPD) Open Data portal and analyzed by Public Analyst.ai: 59 neighborhoods, 10 incident categories, twelve months of trailing comparison. Browse the rankings, scan the multi-year trends, or open a neighborhood-level breakdown.

Read methodologyUPDATED · AS OF 2026-05
311
tracked signals this month — across spikes, drops, sustained shifts, rare events.
-23.4%
overall city incident volume vs. trailing 12-month avg.
59
neighborhoods covered. Each gets its own page.
10
incident categories tracked, NIBRS-aligned.

The sharpest single-neighborhood signal in May 2026 is a sexual assault spike in Brooklyn CD11 — Bensonhurst, the only category in the entire briefing that produced a fresh above-trend reading. This is the first month Bensonhurst sexual assault has topped the citywide rankings. With no demoted lead to displace, it stands as the month's most distinctive finding against an otherwise broad pattern of decline.

Citywide volume is down 23.4% against the prior 12 months — 211,841 incidents versus 276,658 in the year before. The signal mix is heavily tilted toward sustained declines: 201 sustained-shift signals and 108 below-trend readings across 59 neighborhoods, against just one fresh spike. Vandalism is the category that moved most consistently downward, with Brooklyn CD16 — Brownsville / Ocean Hill, Manhattan CD12 — Washington Heights / Inwood, and Brooklyn CD15 — Sheepshead Bay all registering below-trend readings in the same month.

The structural picture for May 2026 is one of broad, entrenched decline rather than isolated movement. The Bensonhurst sexual assault signal is worth monitoring in the next reporting period — a single month above trend does not confirm a directional shift, and the citywide context remains one of the most lopsided drop-to-spike ratios in recent briefings. If the pattern holds in June, it becomes a sustained story; for now, it is one data point.

WHAT TO READ NEXT
Direct answers

New York Crime Frequently Asked Questions

Trailing 12 months vs the prior 12 months, computed from the same NIBRS-aligned categories used everywhere else on the page. Updated each May 2026 briefing.

Is crime in New York down?

Yes — citywide incident volume is 23.4% lower than the prior 12 months.

Across the trailing 12-month window we tracked 211,841 incidents in NIBRS-aligned categories, compared to 276,658 in the year before — down 64,817 incidents.

Is violent crime in New York down?

Yes — homicide, robbery, aggravated assault, and sexual assault are down 20.6% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 44,710 violent incidents in the past year against 56,318 in the prior year. See the by-category section below for the per-bucket breakdown.

Is property crime in New York down?

Yes — burglary, theft from vehicle, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and arson are down 23.8% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 139,021 property incidents in the past year against 182,328 in the prior year.

What are the safest neighborhoods to stay in New York?

  1. Staten Island CD3 — South Shore7.6 incidents per 1,000 residents
  2. Brooklyn CD12 — Borough Park8.7 incidents per 1,000 residents
  3. Brooklyn CD10 — Bay Ridge / Dyker Heights12.9 incidents per 1,000 residents

The three safest neighborhoods in New York, ranked by trailing-12-month incidents per 1,000 residents.

Computed as NIBRS-aligned trailing-12-month incident totals divided by the latest ACS 5-year residential population, expressed per 1,000 residents. Restricted to neighborhoods with at least 1,000 residents so park-only and industrial geographies — where visitor populations are not reflected in the residential denominator — are excluded.

Which neighborhood in New York saw the biggest crime drop?

Manhattan CD8 — Upper East Side — 35.8% fewer incidents than the prior 12 months.

Manhattan CD8 — Upper East Side logged 4,123 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 6,426 the year before.

City profile

The denominators behind the numbers

SOURCES · US CENSUS ACS 2024 · NYC OPEN DATA · NYPD
Geography
Land area302.6 mi²
Water area~165 mi²
CoastlineAtlantic + rivers (≈ 520 mi)
Boroughs5 (Manhattan + 4 outer)
NYPD precincts77
Community districts59 (analysis units)

Five-borough archipelago straddling the mouth of the Hudson — three of the boroughs (Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, Staten Island) sit on islands; only the Bronx is on the mainland. The 59 Community Districts are NYC's official sub-municipal unit, governed by Community Boards and used by the Department of City Planning for land-use review. We picked CDs over the finer-grained Neighborhood Tabulation Areas (195 NTAs) because CD-level density matches the platform's per-page target — comparable to Chicago's 77 community areas and SF's 41 analysis neighborhoods.

Population
8,445,255
Density~27,909 / mi²
Median age38.9
Households~3.32M
Avg HH size0.02

ACS 2024 5-year estimates. NYC spans 5 counties (Manhattan / New York County, Bronx, Brooklyn / Kings, Queens, and Staten Island / Richmond). Per-tract counts (population, households, housing units) sum across all 5 counties — but only the ~2,300 tracts whose centroid falls inside an NYC Community District in our crosswalk. Median figures (rent, home value, household income, age) on this profile reflect Manhattan / New York County only, so they lean wealthier and older than a true five-borough median; per-neighborhood medians on the neighborhood pages are tract-level and unaffected.

Housing
Units~3.66M
Median rent$2,197
Median home value$1.09M
Vacancy9.3%
Tenure
Renter 67%Owner 33%
Stock
SFH 16%2–4 unit 21%5+ unit 62%
Economy & people
Median HH income$103,931
Poverty rate17.9%
Unemployment8.0%
Bachelor's+41.5%
Foreign-born36.6%
Age distribution
<18 20%18–34 25%35–64 38%65+ 17%

City-level only. We deliberately do not juxtapose these with neighborhood-level crime data — see the methodology for why.

Built environment
Street miles~6,000
Parks (acres)~30,000
Subway stations472
Walk score88 (most walkable in the US)

Densest big city in the country; the subway and bus network shapes nearly every travel pattern in Manhattan, the western Bronx, northern Brooklyn, and northwest Queens. Outer-borough edges (eastern Queens, Staten Island, far-southern Brooklyn) are markedly more car-dependent and are mostly served by buses, the LIRR/Metro-North commuter rails, and the Staten Island Railway. The Brooklyn–Queens Expressway, the Cross Bronx, the Belt Parkway, and the FDR / Henry Hudson on Manhattan are the spine of the road network.

Policing context
NYPD sworn officers~33,000
Officers / 10K res.~38
911 calls / yr~7M
Open data lag≈ 14 days (settled)

NYPD publishes incident-level complaint data on NYC Open Data with roughly a two-week reporting lag. The feed uses NYPD's own offense classifications, which our category mapper translates into the same UCR Part 1 buckets used elsewhere on the site so cross-city comparisons stay apples-to-apples. NYPD operates 77 patrol precincts plus housing and transit bureaus; precinct boundaries cut across community-district boundaries, so the analysis unit on this site is the Community District, not the precinct.

Interactive map

Every neighborhood, color-coded

CLICK A NEIGHBORHOOD →
Category
Layer
Window
RAW COUNT · 1Y
1,3076,01610,724
Rankings

Largest moves this month

RANKED BY ANOMALY STRENGTH
#NeighborhoodCategoryMoMYoY 12movs baseline90-day trendSignal
01Brooklyn CD11 — BensonhurstSexual Assault+29%+83%SPIKE
02Brooklyn CD16 — Brownsville / Ocean HillVandalism-19%-24%DROP
03Manhattan CD12 — Washington Heights / InwoodVandalism-33%-42%DROP
04Brooklyn CD15 — Sheepshead BayVandalism-36%-42%DROP
05Brooklyn CD12 — Borough ParkVandalism-41%-53%DROP
06Brooklyn CD11 — BensonhurstVandalism-26%-36%DROP
07Manhattan CD8 — Upper East SideTheft from Vehicle-49%-57%DROP
08Queens CD13 — Queens Village / Cambria HeightsVandalism-16%-30%DROP
09Manhattan CD6 — Stuyvesant Town / Turtle BayOther Larceny-29%-34%DROP
10Brooklyn CD13 — Coney Island / Brighton BeachVandalism-28%-41%DROP
11Manhattan CD10 — Central HarlemTheft from Vehicle-24%-40%DROP
12Brooklyn CD7 — Sunset ParkRobbery-30%-44%DROP
Showing top 12 of 20 (neighborhood × category) cells with tracked signals.
Multi-year trends

The long arc — eight years of monthly counts

SELECT A CATEGORY ↓
01632476320192020202120222023202420252026monthly12-mo rolling mean
Latest 12mo215
YoY 12mo-38%
5-year change-57%
Window change-30%
Peak (12mo avg)42 · May '21
Trough (12mo avg)18 · May '26
ALL CATEGORIES · 8-YEAR ARC · 12-MO ROLLING MEAN
2018 ─────────────────── 2026
When does it happen?

Hour-of-day, day-of-week, and seasonality

Distribution of bucketed incidents citywide across the full analysis window. Useful for routine context — shopping-strip thefts vs. late-night assaults read very differently when you can see when each typically happens.

HOUR OF DAY · ALL CATEGORIES
071,761143,52112am6am12pm6pm11pm

Hour 0 is mildly inflated by reports without a known time defaulting to midnight — see methodology.

DAY OF WEEK · ALL CATEGORIES
0177,039354,078MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
MONTH OF YEAR · ALL CATEGORIES
0103,989207,977JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Browse

All 59 New York neighborhoods

Crime rate trends and May 2026 briefings for every tracked neighborhood. Alphabetical.

Methodology

How We Calculate New York Crime Trends

Open about how we define spikes, what we exclude as noise, where the data comes from, and how often the model is wrong.

# anomaly rule — spike
flag = (z >= 2.5) AND (current_12mo >= 20) AND (current_6mo above sustained band)
where z = (current_12mo − μ_baseline) / σ_baseline
# exclusions (excerpt)
· simple assault (varies by reporting practice)
· drug offenses (reflect policing policy)
· admin records, weapons-possession, fraud
# 2025 backtest (citywide)
7 of 10 categories ≥ 90% coverage. see table →