New York · March 2026 briefing

New York Crime Rate Trends

The city, by the numbers we publish each month: 59 neighborhoods, 10 incident categories, twelve months of trailing comparison. Browse the rankings, scan the multi-year trends, or open a neighborhood-level breakdown.

Read methodologyUPDATED · AS OF 2026-03
129
tracked signals this month — across spikes, drops, sustained shifts, rare events.
-6.9%
overall city incident volume vs. trailing 12-month avg.
59
neighborhoods covered. Each gets its own page.
10
incident categories tracked, NIBRS-aligned.

Sexual assault registered fresh spikes across three boroughs this month, with Bronx CD12 — Williamsbridge / Baychester posting the strongest single signal in the briefing. Brooklyn CD11 — Bensonhurst and Queens CD8 — Hillcrest / Fresh Meadows also appear in the top five with the same category. Three neighborhoods, one category, in one month — that concentration is the dominant pattern of March 2026.

Citywide volume is down 6.9% against the prior 12 months — 258,033 incidents against 277,228. The signal mix across 59 neighborhoods runs 59 sustained-shift signals and 50 below-trend signals alongside 19 spikes, meaning the broad directional decline holds even as localized increases emerge. Queens CD14 — Far Rockaway / Broad Channel and Brooklyn CD9 — South Crown Heights / Lefferts Gardens round out the top five with other-larceny and aggravated-assault spikes respectively.

The multi-category, multi-borough sexual assault pattern is new to the top rankings this briefing — lead run length is one month, with no prior recurring combo to displace. Whether this is a single-month cluster or the start of a sustained shift is not yet determinable from one month's data. The structural citywide decline remains in place; the sexual assault signals across three districts are the item to track in April's data.

WHAT TO READ NEXT
Direct answers

New York Crime Frequently Asked Questions

Trailing 12 months vs the prior 12 months, computed from the same NIBRS-aligned categories used everywhere else on the page. Updated each March 2026 briefing.

Is crime in New York down?

Yes — citywide incident volume is 6.9% lower than the prior 12 months.

Across the trailing 12-month window we tracked 258,033 incidents in NIBRS-aligned categories, compared to 277,228 in the year before — down 19,195 incidents.

Is violent crime in New York down?

Yes — homicide, robbery, aggravated assault, and sexual assault are down 2.9% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 54,633 violent incidents in the past year against 56,280 in the prior year. See the by-category section below for the per-bucket breakdown.

Is property crime in New York down?

Yes — burglary, theft from vehicle, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and arson are down 7.2% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 169,090 property incidents in the past year against 182,268 in the prior year.

Which neighborhood in New York saw the biggest crime drop?

Queens CD4 — Elmhurst / Corona — 25.6% fewer incidents than the prior 12 months.

Queens CD4 — Elmhurst / Corona logged 4,893 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 6,579 the year before.

Which neighborhood in New York saw the biggest crime increase?

Brooklyn CD16 — Brownsville / Ocean Hill — 14.4% more incidents than the prior 12 months.

Brooklyn CD16 — Brownsville / Ocean Hill logged 4,236 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 3,703 the year before.

City profile

The denominators behind the numbers

SOURCES · US CENSUS ACS 2023 · NYC OPEN DATA · NYPD
Geography
Land area302.6 mi²
Water area~165 mi²
CoastlineAtlantic + rivers (≈ 520 mi)
Boroughs5 (Manhattan + 4 outer)
NYPD precincts77
Community districts59 (analysis units)

Five-borough archipelago straddling the mouth of the Hudson — three of the boroughs (Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, Staten Island) sit on islands; only the Bronx is on the mainland. The 59 Community Districts are NYC's official sub-municipal unit, governed by Community Boards and used by the Department of City Planning for land-use review. We picked CDs over the finer-grained Neighborhood Tabulation Areas (195 NTAs) because CD-level density matches the platform's per-page target — comparable to Chicago's 77 community areas and SF's 41 analysis neighborhoods.

Population
8,476,093
Density~28,011 / mi²
Median age38.9
Households~3.29M
Avg HH size2.01

ACS 2023 5-year estimates. NYC spans 5 counties (Manhattan / New York County, Bronx, Brooklyn / Kings, Queens, and Staten Island / Richmond). Per-tract counts (population, households, housing units) sum across all 5 counties — but only the ~2,300 tracts whose centroid falls inside an NYC Community District in our crosswalk. Median figures (rent, home value, household income, age) on this profile reflect Manhattan / New York County only, so they lean wealthier and older than a true five-borough median; per-neighborhood medians on the neighborhood pages are tract-level and unaffected.

Housing
Units~3.63M
Median rent$2,132
Median home value$1.11M
Vacancy9.2%
Tenure
Renter 67%Owner 33%
Stock
SFH 16%2–4 unit 22%5+ unit 62%
Economy & people
Median HH income$104,553
Poverty rate17.4%
Unemployment7.7%
Bachelor's+40.9%
Foreign-born36.5%
Age distribution
<18 20%18–34 25%35–64 39%65+ 16%

City-level only. We deliberately do not juxtapose these with neighborhood-level crime data — see the methodology for why.

Built environment
Street miles~6,000
Parks (acres)~30,000
Subway stations472
Walk score88 (most walkable in the US)

Densest big city in the country; the subway and bus network shapes nearly every travel pattern in Manhattan, the western Bronx, northern Brooklyn, and northwest Queens. Outer-borough edges (eastern Queens, Staten Island, far-southern Brooklyn) are markedly more car-dependent and are mostly served by buses, the LIRR/Metro-North commuter rails, and the Staten Island Railway. The Brooklyn–Queens Expressway, the Cross Bronx, the Belt Parkway, and the FDR / Henry Hudson on Manhattan are the spine of the road network.

Policing context
NYPD sworn officers~33,000
Officers / 10K res.~38
911 calls / yr~7M
Open data lag≈ 14 days (settled)

NYPD publishes incident-level complaint data on NYC Open Data with roughly a two-week reporting lag. The feed uses NYPD's own offense classifications, which our category mapper translates into the same UCR Part 1 buckets used elsewhere on the site so cross-city comparisons stay apples-to-apples. NYPD operates 77 patrol precincts plus housing and transit bureaus; precinct boundaries cut across community-district boundaries, so the analysis unit on this site is the Community District, not the precinct.

Interactive map

Every neighborhood, color-coded

CLICK A NEIGHBORHOOD →
Category
Layer
Window
RAW COUNT · 1Y
1,6217,27912,936
Rankings

Largest moves this month

SORTED BY |Z|
#NeighborhoodCategoryMoMYoY 12mo|z|90-day trendSignal
01Bronx CD12 — Williamsbridge / BaychesterSexual Assault+27%+34%5.69SPIKE
02Brooklyn CD11 — BensonhurstSexual Assault-5%+43%5.16SPIKE
03Queens CD8 — Hillcrest / Fresh MeadowsSexual Assault+213%+29%5.13SPIKE
04Queens CD14 — Far Rockaway / Broad ChannelOther Larceny+11%+18%4.83SPIKE
05Brooklyn CD9 — South Crown Heights / Lefferts GardensAggravated Assault-8%+36%4.36SPIKE
06Queens CD13 — Queens Village / Cambria HeightsSexual Assault-7%+18%4.20SPIKE
07Queens CD7 — Flushing / WhitestoneSexual Assault0%+34%4.07SPIKE
08Queens CD6 — Forest Hills / Rego ParkAggravated Assault-9%+21%3.77SPIKE
09Bronx CD7 — Kingsbridge Heights / BedfordAggravated Assault+14%+13%3.71SPIKE
10Manhattan CD1 — Financial District / Battery Park / TribecaAggravated Assault-20%+26%3.32SPIKE
11Brooklyn CD12 — Borough ParkMotor Vehicle Theft-50%+18%2.93SPIKE
12Bronx CD8 — Riverdale / FieldstonSexual Assault+29%+32%2.91SPIKE
Showing top 12 of 20 (neighborhood × category) cells with tracked signals.
Multi-year trends

The long arc — eight years of monthly counts

SELECT A CATEGORY ↓
016324763201820192020202120222023202420252026monthly12-mo rolling mean
Latest 12mo264
YoY 12mo-25%
5-year change-46%
Window change-6%
Peak (12mo avg)42 · May '21
Trough (12mo avg)22 · Feb '26
ALL CATEGORIES · 8-YEAR ARC · 12-MO ROLLING MEAN
2018 ─────────────────── 2026
When does it happen?

Hour-of-day, day-of-week, and seasonality

Distribution of bucketed incidents citywide across the full analysis window. Useful for routine context — shopping-strip thefts vs. late-night assaults read very differently when you can see when each typically happens.

HOUR OF DAY · ALL CATEGORIES
071,761143,52112am6am12pm6pm11pm

Hour 0 is mildly inflated by reports without a known time defaulting to midnight — see methodology.

DAY OF WEEK · ALL CATEGORIES
0177,039354,078MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
MONTH OF YEAR · ALL CATEGORIES
0103,989207,977JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Browse

All 59 New York neighborhoods

Crime rate trends and March 2026 briefings for every tracked neighborhood. Alphabetical.

Methodology

Every signal, every forecast, documented

Open about how we define spikes, what we exclude as noise, where the data comes from, and how often the model is wrong.

# anomaly rule — spike
flag = (z >= 2.5) AND (current_12mo >= 20) AND (current_6mo above sustained band)
where z = (current_12mo − μ_baseline) / σ_baseline
# exclusions (excerpt)
· simple assault (varies by reporting practice)
· drug offenses (reflect policing policy)
· admin records, weapons-possession, fraud
# 2025 backtest (citywide)
7 of 10 categories ≥ 90% coverage. see table →