Denver · April 2026 briefing

Denver Crime Rate Trends

Data sourced from the Denver Police Department (DPD) Open Data portal and analyzed by Public Analyst.ai: 78 neighborhoods, 9 incident categories, twelve months of trailing comparison. Browse the rankings, scan the multi-year trends, or open a neighborhood-level breakdown.

Read methodologyUPDATED · AS OF 2026-04
173
tracked signals this month — across spikes, drops, sustained shifts, rare events.
-9.4%
overall city incident volume vs. trailing 12-month avg.
78
neighborhoods covered. Each gets its own page.
9
incident categories tracked, NIBRS-aligned.

Congress Park aggravated assault is the headline signal this month — a sharp spike that stands out even against a backdrop of widespread other-larceny activity. Mar Lee other-larceny has been the recurring top-ranked combo, but the category driving that pattern is other-larceny broadly, and the freshest move this briefing is in a different bucket entirely: a violent-crime signal in Congress Park that hasn't appeared at this level before.

Citywide volume is down 9.4% against the prior 12 months — 39,751 incidents against 43,870 the year before. The signal mix still leans toward declines: 82 below-trend signals and 56 sustained-shift signals against 15 fresh spikes. That said, other-larceny spikes are spread across multiple neighborhoods — Mar Lee, Globeville, Lowry Field, and Civic Center all appear in the top five with the same signal type, which is the kind of category-wide pattern worth tracking.

The overall arc remains a multi-year volume decline, and one violent-crime spike in Congress Park doesn't change that picture. But the other-larceny cluster is new in its breadth — four distinct neighborhoods in the top five is a structural spread, not an isolated event. If the pattern holds into May, it shifts from a single-month read to a sustained shift.

WHAT TO READ NEXT
Direct answers

Denver Crime Frequently Asked Questions

Trailing 12 months vs the prior 12 months, computed from the same NIBRS-aligned categories used everywhere else on the page. Updated each April 2026 briefing.

Is crime in Denver down?

Yes — citywide incident volume is 9.4% lower than the prior 12 months.

Across the trailing 12-month window we tracked 39,751 incidents in NIBRS-aligned categories, compared to 43,870 in the year before — down 4,119 incidents.

Is violent crime in Denver down?

Yes — homicide, robbery, aggravated assault, and sexual assault are down 10.1% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 3,480 violent incidents in the past year against 3,871 in the prior year. See the by-category section below for the per-bucket breakdown.

Is property crime in Denver down?

Yes — burglary, theft from vehicle, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and arson are down 10.7% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 28,989 property incidents in the past year against 32,453 in the prior year.

What are the safest neighborhoods to stay in Denver?

  1. Wellshire8.9 incidents per 1,000 residents
  2. Indian Creek11.7 incidents per 1,000 residents
  3. Hilltop19.4 incidents per 1,000 residents

The three safest neighborhoods in Denver, ranked by trailing-12-month incidents per 1,000 residents.

Computed as NIBRS-aligned trailing-12-month incident totals divided by the latest ACS 5-year residential population, expressed per 1,000 residents. Restricted to neighborhoods with at least 1,000 residents so park-only and industrial geographies — where visitor populations are not reflected in the residential denominator — are excluded.

Which neighborhood in Denver saw the biggest crime drop?

Montclair — 45.3% fewer incidents than the prior 12 months.

Montclair logged 275 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 503 the year before.

Which neighborhood in Denver saw the biggest crime increase?

University Hills — 23.1% more incidents than the prior 12 months.

University Hills logged 742 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 603 the year before.

City profile

The denominators behind the numbers

SOURCES · US CENSUS ACS 2023 · DENVER OPEN DATA · DPD
Geography
Land area153 mi²
Water area1.3 mi²
WaterwaysS. Platte + Cherry Creek
Elevation5,130–5,690 ft
DPD districts6
Neighborhoods78 (analysis units)

High-plains city pressed against the eastern foothills of the Front Range, sitting at roughly one mile of elevation. The South Platte River runs north-south through the urban core and meets Cherry Creek just south of Lower Downtown; together they organize the city's older grid. East of the river the layout follows the standard cardinal grid; the historic core (LoDo, Capitol Hill, Five Points) is rotated about 45° to align with the South Platte.

Population
713,734
Density~4,665 / mi²
Median age35.2
Households~330K
Avg HH size2.12

ACS 2023 5-year estimates, county-level (Denver County). Denver is a consolidated city-county, so the county and city are coterminous — these aggregates describe the same population the police data covers.

Housing
Units~353K
Median rent$1,770
Median home value$586,700
Vacancy6.5%
Tenure
Renter 51%Owner 49%
Stock
SFH 50%2–4 unit 5%5+ unit 45%
Economy & people
Median HH income$91,681
Poverty rate11.2%
Unemployment4.6%
Bachelor's+55.6%
Foreign-born13.8%
Age distribution
<18 18%18–34 31%35–64 38%65+ 12%

City-level only. We deliberately do not juxtapose these with neighborhood-level crime data — see the methodology for why.

Built environment
Street miles~2,400
Parks (acres)~6,000
TransitRTD light rail + commuter
Walk score59 (somewhat walkable)

Denver covers more land than every Bay Area peer combined and is roughly twice the footprint of Seattle. Density falls off sharply outside the central core: LoDo, Capitol Hill, Cherry Creek, and the Highland/Berkeley belt are dense and walkable; the southeast and far-northeast neighborhoods (Hampden, Montbello, Green Valley Ranch, DIA) are lower-density car-oriented. Crime-rate denominators differ sharply across this core/periphery axis.

Policing context
DPD sworn officers~1,500
Officers / 10K res.~21
911 calls / yr~1M
Open data lag≈ 7 days (firms over 30)

DPD publishes incidents through Denver's ArcGIS Hub portal rather than Socrata; the feed is NIBRS-coded and has covered the previous five calendar years plus the current year-to-date since 2019. Sexual-assault incidents are not present in the public feed because DPD redacts victim-bearing rows; the bucket is excluded from the analysis at the city page level. Earlier history is not retained upstream — the analysis window is anchored at 2021-01, the upstream floor when Denver was onboarded (May 2026).

Interactive map

Every neighborhood, color-coded

CLICK A NEIGHBORHOOD →
Category
Layer
Window
RAW COUNT · 1Y
291,3842,739
Rankings

Largest moves this month

RANKED BY ANOMALY STRENGTH
#NeighborhoodCategoryMoMYoY 12movs baseline90-day trendSignal
01Mar LeeOther Larceny+10%+277%+177%SPIKE
02GlobevilleOther Larceny+80%+57%+54%SPIKE
03Congress ParkAggravated Assault+65%+69%SPIKE
04Lowry FieldOther Larceny0%+35%+47%SPIKE
05Civic CenterOther Larceny+100%+43%+73%SPIKE
06University HillsOther Larceny-14%+48%+241%SPIKE
07OverlandOther Larceny+86%+19%+55%SPIKE
08HaleOther Larceny-33%+36%+48%SPIKE
09Civic CenterVandalism-9%+27%+41%SPIKE
10DIAAggravated Assault-33%+89%+56%SPIKE
11East ColfaxOther Larceny+30%+4%+30%SPIKE
12Ruby HillOther Larceny+25%+25%+31%SPIKE
Showing top 12 of 20 (neighborhood × category) cells with tracked signals.
Multi-year trends

The long arc — eight years of monthly counts

SELECT A CATEGORY ↓
036913201820192020202120222023202420252026monthly12-mo rolling mean
Latest 12mo38
YoY 12mo-24%
5-year change+65%
Window change
Peak (12mo avg)7 · Apr '22
Trough (12mo avg)3 · Jan '26
ALL CATEGORIES · 8-YEAR ARC · 12-MO ROLLING MEAN
2018 ─────────────────── 2026
When does it happen?

Hour-of-day, day-of-week, and seasonality

Distribution of bucketed incidents citywide across the full analysis window. Useful for routine context — shopping-strip thefts vs. late-night assaults read very differently when you can see when each typically happens.

HOUR OF DAY · ALL CATEGORIES
08,49916,99712am6am12pm6pm11pm

Hour 0 is mildly inflated by reports without a known time defaulting to midnight — see methodology.

DAY OF WEEK · ALL CATEGORIES
021,91343,826MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
MONTH OF YEAR · ALL CATEGORIES
013,33526,671JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Browse

All 78 Denver neighborhoods

Crime rate trends and April 2026 briefings for every tracked neighborhood. Alphabetical.

Methodology

How We Calculate Denver Crime Trends

Open about how we define spikes, what we exclude as noise, where the data comes from, and how often the model is wrong.

# anomaly rule — spike
flag = (z >= 2.5) AND (current_12mo >= 20) AND (current_6mo above sustained band)
where z = (current_12mo − μ_baseline) / σ_baseline
# exclusions (excerpt)
· simple assault (varies by reporting practice)
· drug offenses (reflect policing policy)
· admin records, weapons-possession, fraud
# 2025 backtest (citywide)
7 of 10 categories ≥ 90% coverage. see table →