Denver · June 2026 briefing

Denver Crime Rate Trends

Data sourced from the Denver Police Department (DPD) Open Data portal and analyzed by Public Analyst.ai: 78 neighborhoods, 9 incident categories, twelve months of trailing comparison. Browse the rankings, scan the multi-year trends, or open a neighborhood-level breakdown.

Read methodologyUPDATED · AS OF 2026-06
162
tracked signals this month — across spikes, drops, sustained shifts, rare events.
-8.5%
overall city incident volume vs. trailing 12-month avg.
78
neighborhoods covered. Each gets its own page.
9
incident categories tracked, NIBRS-aligned.

Civic Center vandalism is the lead signal this month — a sharp move above its multi-year baseline, the most prominent fresh category in June 2026. Other larceny has been the dominant backdrop, but that category has been driving the citywide rankings for the past month already. The vandalism shift in Civic Center is the new development worth tracking.

Citywide volume is down 8.5% against the prior 12 months — 39,904 incidents against 43,600. The signal mix is weighted toward declines: 75 below-trend signals and 51 sustained-shift signals against 18 fresh spikes. Other larceny is the recurring theme across neighborhoods; Mar Lee, Globeville, and Lowry Field all registered spikes in that category, appearing alongside Civic Center in the top five.

Other larceny's breadth across multiple neighborhoods this month makes it a structural story rather than an isolated one — the same category is showing above-baseline readings across at least four tracked neighborhoods simultaneously. The Civic Center vandalism move is the freshest signal, but the broader picture is a citywide other-larceny pattern that the next several months will clarify as either a sustained shift or a short-term cluster.

WHAT TO READ NEXT
Direct answers

Denver Crime Frequently Asked Questions

Trailing 12 months vs the prior 12 months, computed from the same NIBRS-aligned categories used everywhere else on the page. Updated each June 2026 briefing.

Is crime in Denver down?

Yes — citywide incident volume is 8.5% lower than the prior 12 months.

Across the trailing 12-month window we tracked 39,904 incidents in NIBRS-aligned categories, compared to 43,600 in the year before — down 3,696 incidents.

Is violent crime in Denver down?

Yes — homicide, robbery, aggravated assault, and sexual assault are down 8.2% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 3,479 violent incidents in the past year against 3,789 in the prior year. See the by-category section below for the per-bucket breakdown.

Is property crime in Denver down?

Yes — burglary, theft from vehicle, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and arson are down 9.3% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 29,251 property incidents in the past year against 32,266 in the prior year.

What are the safest neighborhoods to stay in Denver?

  1. Wellshire7.4 incidents per 1,000 residents
  2. Indian Creek11.8 incidents per 1,000 residents
  3. Hilltop18.2 incidents per 1,000 residents

The three safest neighborhoods in Denver, ranked by trailing-12-month incidents per 1,000 residents.

Computed as NIBRS-aligned trailing-12-month incident totals divided by the latest ACS 5-year residential population, expressed per 1,000 residents. Restricted to neighborhoods with at least 1,000 residents so park-only and industrial geographies — where visitor populations are not reflected in the residential denominator — are excluded.

Which neighborhood in Denver saw the biggest crime drop?

Montclair — 46.7% fewer incidents than the prior 12 months.

Montclair logged 261 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 490 the year before.

Which neighborhood in Denver saw the biggest crime increase?

Civic Center — 28.1% more incidents than the prior 12 months.

Civic Center logged 629 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 491 the year before.

City profile

The denominators behind the numbers

SOURCES · US CENSUS ACS 2024 · DENVER OPEN DATA · DPD
Geography
Land area153 mi²
Water area1.3 mi²
WaterwaysS. Platte + Cherry Creek
Elevation5,130–5,690 ft
DPD districts6
Neighborhoods78 (analysis units)

High-plains city pressed against the eastern foothills of the Front Range, sitting at roughly one mile of elevation. The South Platte River runs north-south through the urban core and meets Cherry Creek just south of Lower Downtown; together they organize the city's older grid. East of the river the layout follows the standard cardinal grid; the historic core (LoDo, Capitol Hill, Five Points) is rotated about 45° to align with the South Platte.

Population
718,877
Density~4,699 / mi²
Median age35.3
Households~335K
Avg HH size2.10

ACS 2024 5-year estimates, county-level (Denver County). Denver is a consolidated city-county, so the county and city are coterminous — these aggregates describe the same population the police data covers.

Housing
Units~360K
Median rent$1,831
Median home value$616,000
Vacancy6.7%
Tenure
Renter 51%Owner 49%
Stock
SFH 49%2–4 unit 5%5+ unit 46%
Economy & people
Median HH income$94,718
Poverty rate11.2%
Unemployment4.9%
Bachelor's+56.5%
Foreign-born14.5%
Age distribution
<18 18%18–34 31%35–64 38%65+ 12%

City-level only. We deliberately do not juxtapose these with neighborhood-level crime data — see the methodology for why.

Built environment
Street miles~2,400
Parks (acres)~6,000
TransitRTD light rail + commuter
Walk score59 (somewhat walkable)

Denver covers more land than every Bay Area peer combined and is roughly twice the footprint of Seattle. Density falls off sharply outside the central core: LoDo, Capitol Hill, Cherry Creek, and the Highland/Berkeley belt are dense and walkable; the southeast and far-northeast neighborhoods (Hampden, Montbello, Green Valley Ranch, DIA) are lower-density car-oriented. Crime-rate denominators differ sharply across this core/periphery axis.

Policing context
DPD sworn officers~1,500
Officers / 10K res.~21
911 calls / yr~1M
Open data lag≈ 7 days (firms over 30)

DPD publishes incidents through Denver's ArcGIS Hub portal rather than Socrata; the feed is NIBRS-coded and has covered the previous five calendar years plus the current year-to-date since 2019. Sexual-assault incidents are not present in the public feed because DPD redacts victim-bearing rows; the bucket is excluded from the analysis at the city page level. Earlier history is not retained upstream — the analysis window is anchored at 2021-01, the upstream floor when Denver was onboarded (May 2026).

Interactive map

Every neighborhood, color-coded

CLICK A NEIGHBORHOOD →
Category
Layer
Window
RAW COUNT · 1Y
231,4332,843
Rankings

Largest moves this month

RANKED BY ANOMALY STRENGTH
#NeighborhoodCategoryMoMYoY 12movs baseline90-day trendSignal
01Mar LeeOther Larceny+38%+300%+224%SPIKE
02GlobevilleOther Larceny-27%+30%+49%SPIKE
03Lowry FieldOther Larceny-43%+47%+50%SPIKE
04HaleOther Larceny-11%+48%+63%SPIKE
05Civic CenterOther Larceny-35%+52%+88%SPIKE
06Ruby HillOther Larceny-50%+29%+39%SPIKE
07University HillsOther Larceny-27%+48%+239%SPIKE
08East ColfaxOther Larceny+29%+15%+43%SPIKE
09OverlandOther Larceny-18%+21%+59%SPIKE
10Civic CenterVandalism0%+30%+46%SPIKE
11WhittierOther Larceny-86%+46%+74%SPIKE
12AurariaVandalism0%+39%+43%SPIKE
Showing top 12 of 20 (neighborhood × category) cells with tracked signals.
Multi-year trends

The long arc — eight years of monthly counts

SELECT A CATEGORY ↓
03691320192020202120222023202420252026monthly12-mo rolling mean
Latest 12mo40
YoY 12mo-18%
5-year change+5%
Window change
Peak (12mo avg)7 · Apr '22
Trough (12mo avg)3 · Jan '26
ALL CATEGORIES · 8-YEAR ARC · 12-MO ROLLING MEAN
2018 ─────────────────── 2026
When does it happen?

Hour-of-day, day-of-week, and seasonality

Distribution of bucketed incidents citywide across the full analysis window. Useful for routine context — shopping-strip thefts vs. late-night assaults read very differently when you can see when each typically happens.

HOUR OF DAY · ALL CATEGORIES
08,74917,49912am6am12pm6pm11pm

Hour 0 is mildly inflated by reports without a known time defaulting to midnight — see methodology.

DAY OF WEEK · ALL CATEGORIES
022,57645,152MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
MONTH OF YEAR · ALL CATEGORIES
013,81527,630JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Browse

All 78 Denver neighborhoods

Crime rate trends and June 2026 briefings for every tracked neighborhood. Alphabetical.

Methodology

How We Calculate Denver Crime Trends

Open about how we define spikes, what we exclude as noise, where the data comes from, and how often the model is wrong.

# anomaly rule — spike
flag = (z >= 2.5) AND (current_12mo >= 20) AND (current_6mo above sustained band)
where z = (current_12mo − μ_baseline) / σ_baseline
# exclusions (excerpt)
· simple assault (varies by reporting practice)
· drug offenses (reflect policing policy)
· admin records, weapons-possession, fraud
# 2025 backtest (citywide)
7 of 10 categories ≥ 90% coverage. see table →