Washington DC · April 2026 briefing

Washington DC Crime Rate Trends

Data sourced from the Metropolitan Police Department of DC (MPD) Open Data portal and analyzed by Public Analyst.ai: 41 neighborhoods, 8 incident categories, twelve months of trailing comparison. Browse the rankings, scan the multi-year trends, or open a neighborhood-level breakdown.

Read methodologyUPDATED · AS OF 2026-04
93
tracked signals this month — across spikes, drops, sustained shifts, rare events.
-23.5%
overall city incident volume vs. trailing 12-month avg.
41
neighborhoods covered. Each gets its own page.
8
incident categories tracked, NIBRS-aligned.

Walter Reed other-larceny is the headline of April 2026 — the sharpest single-neighborhood signal in Washington DC this briefing, and the only fresh spike at the top of the rankings. Colonial Village registered the same category move, making other-larceny the one area of upward pressure in a month otherwise defined by broad declines.

Citywide volume is down 23.5% against the prior 12 months — 21,797 incidents against 28,505 the year before. The signal mix reinforces the downward trend: 59 sustained-shift signals and 29 below-trend signals, against just 2 spikes across 41 neighborhoods. Petworth theft-from-vehicle and Mayfair aggravated assault both ran well below baseline, consistent with the dominant pattern this briefing. A streak-break in Friendship Heights homicide rounds out the top five.

With 93 total signals and the vast majority pointing downward, April continues the structural decline visible in prior months. The other-larceny cluster in Walter Reed and Colonial Village is the one category worth tracking into May — two neighborhoods moving the same direction in the same month is early, but it stands out against an otherwise quiet upper tier.

WHAT TO READ NEXT
Direct answers

Washington DC Crime Frequently Asked Questions

Trailing 12 months vs the prior 12 months, computed from the same NIBRS-aligned categories used everywhere else on the page. Updated each April 2026 briefing.

Is crime in Washington DC down?

Yes — citywide incident volume is 23.5% lower than the prior 12 months.

Across the trailing 12-month window we tracked 21,797 incidents in NIBRS-aligned categories, compared to 28,505 in the year before — down 6,708 incidents.

Is violent crime in Washington DC down?

Yes — homicide, robbery, aggravated assault, and sexual assault are down 24.2% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 2,408 violent incidents in the past year against 3,177 in the prior year. See the by-category section below for the per-bucket breakdown.

Is property crime in Washington DC down?

Yes — burglary, theft from vehicle, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and arson are down 23.4% combined in the trailing 12 months.

That's 19,389 property incidents in the past year against 25,328 in the prior year.

What are the safest neighborhoods to stay in Washington DC?

  1. Saint Elizabeths9.1 incidents per 1,000 residents
  2. Spring Valley9.3 incidents per 1,000 residents
  3. Walter Reed12.9 incidents per 1,000 residents

The three safest neighborhoods in Washington DC, ranked by trailing-12-month incidents per 1,000 residents.

Computed as NIBRS-aligned trailing-12-month incident totals divided by the latest ACS 5-year residential population, expressed per 1,000 residents. Restricted to neighborhoods with at least 1,000 residents so park-only and industrial geographies — where visitor populations are not reflected in the residential denominator — are excluded.

Which neighborhood in Washington DC saw the biggest crime drop?

Ivy City — 44.2% fewer incidents than the prior 12 months.

Ivy City logged 945 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 1,695 the year before.

Which neighborhood in Washington DC saw the biggest crime increase?

Colonial Village — 54.8% more incidents than the prior 12 months.

Colonial Village logged 243 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 157 the year before.

City profile

The denominators behind the numbers

SOURCES · US CENSUS ACS 2023 · DC OPEN DATA · MPDC
Geography
Land area61 mi²
Water area7 mi²
WaterwaysPotomac + Anacostia
Elevation0–410 ft
MPD districts7
Neighborhoods41 (analysis units)

Federal district at the confluence of the Potomac and Anacostia Rivers, bordered by Maryland on three sides and Virginia across the Potomac. The L'Enfant Plan organizes the city around the U.S. Capitol with four cardinal quadrants (NW, NE, SW, SE) overlaid by diagonal avenues named for states. Rock Creek cuts a forested ravine through the western half of the city, splitting upper-Northwest neighborhoods from the rest of the grid.

Population
672,079
Density~11,018 / mi²
Median age34.9
Households~322K
Avg HH size1.99

ACS 2023 5-year estimates, county-level (District of Columbia, FIPS 11001). DC is a single county-equivalent jurisdiction, so the county and city are coterminous — these aggregates describe the same population the police data covers.

Housing
Units~356K
Median rent$1,900
Median home value$724,600
Vacancy9.7%
Tenure
Renter 59%Owner 41%
Stock
SFH 33%2–4 unit 10%5+ unit 56%
Economy & people
Median HH income$106,287
Poverty rate14.5%
Unemployment6.4%
Bachelor's+63.6%
Foreign-born13.3%
Age distribution
<18 19%18–34 32%35–64 37%65+ 13%

City-level only. We deliberately do not juxtapose these with neighborhood-level crime data — see the methodology for why.

Built environment
Street miles~1,500
Parks (acres)~7,800
TransitWMATA Metrorail + bus
Walk score77 (very walkable)

DC is small and dense by US-city standards, with a footprint roughly the size of Boston and a transit-served core that stretches from upper-Northwest down through the Capitol to the Anacostia waterfront. The grid is broken in three places by significant green space: Rock Creek Park bisects the west, the Anacostia divides the city's east from its center, and the National Mall plus Arboretum together remove a wide diagonal from the buildable area. Neighborhood density falls off sharply east of the Anacostia and in the upper-Northwest single-family belts.

Policing context
MPD sworn officers~3,400
Officers / 10K res.~49
911 calls / yr~1.6M
Open data lag≈ 7 days (firms over 30)

MPD publishes incident-level data through DC's ArcGIS Hub portal as per-calendar-year layers (Crime Incidents - 2018 through current year), updated daily. The public feed is Part 1 index crimes only (homicide, sex abuse, robbery, assault with a dangerous weapon, burglary, theft, theft from auto, motor vehicle theft); Part 2 offenses including simple assault, vandalism, drug offenses, and arson are not exposed in this dataset and are excluded from the platform's analysis at the city page level. Sex abuse counts in the feed are typically low and capture aggregate sex-offense reports rather than the granular sub-categories that NIBRS-coded cities expose.

Interactive map

Every neighborhood, color-coded

CLICK A NEIGHBORHOOD →
Category
Layer
Window
RAW COUNT · 1Y
408081,575
Rankings

Largest moves this month

RANKED BY ANOMALY STRENGTH
#NeighborhoodCategoryMoMYoY 12movs baseline90-day trendSignal
01Walter ReedOther Larceny-100%+94%+456%SPIKE
02Colonial VillageOther Larceny-60%+86%+173%SPIKE
03Friendship HeightsHomicideSTREAK BREAK
04PetworthTheft from Vehicle-33%-39%-47%DROP
05MayfairAggravated Assault-38%-47%DROP
06Capitol ViewRobbery-50%-51%-60%DROP
07Fairfax VillageTheft from Vehicle-80%-67%-76%DROP
08Congress HeightsRobbery0%-26%-50%DROP
09Adams MorganBurglary-63%-66%DROP
10TwiningTheft from Vehicle+100%-48%-66%DROP
11Barry FarmAggravated Assault+100%-35%-48%DROP
12BrooklandBurglary-50%-51%-55%DROP
Showing top 12 of 20 (neighborhood × category) cells with tracked signals.
Multi-year trends

The long arc — eight years of monthly counts

SELECT A CATEGORY ↓
08162432201820192020202120222023202420252026monthly12-mo rolling mean
Latest 12mo94
YoY 12mo-42%
5-year change-52%
Window change-36%
Peak (12mo avg)20 · Dec '23
Trough (12mo avg)8 · Mar '26
ALL CATEGORIES · 8-YEAR ARC · 12-MO ROLLING MEAN
2018 ─────────────────── 2026
When does it happen?

Hour-of-day, day-of-week, and seasonality

Distribution of bucketed incidents citywide across the full analysis window. Useful for routine context — shopping-strip thefts vs. late-night assaults read very differently when you can see when each typically happens.

HOUR OF DAY · ALL CATEGORIES
08,05116,10312am6am12pm6pm11pm

Hour 0 is mildly inflated by reports without a known time defaulting to midnight — see methodology.

DAY OF WEEK · ALL CATEGORIES
019,64839,295MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
MONTH OF YEAR · ALL CATEGORIES
012,03124,063JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Methodology

How We Calculate Washington DC Crime Trends

Open about how we define spikes, what we exclude as noise, where the data comes from, and how often the model is wrong.

# anomaly rule — spike
flag = (z >= 2.5) AND (current_12mo >= 20) AND (current_6mo above sustained band)
where z = (current_12mo − μ_baseline) / σ_baseline
# exclusions (excerpt)
· simple assault (varies by reporting practice)
· drug offenses (reflect policing policy)
· admin records, weapons-possession, fraud
# 2025 backtest (citywide)
7 of 10 categories ≥ 90% coverage. see table →