Cincinnati Crime Rate Trends
Data sourced from the Cincinnati Police Department (CPD) Open Data portal and analyzed by Public Analyst.ai: 50 neighborhoods, 8 incident categories, twelve months of trailing comparison. Browse the rankings, scan the multi-year trends, or open a neighborhood-level breakdown.
Riverside_Sedamsville other larceny is the lead signal for April 2026 — a fresh spike with no prior-month run behind it. With demoted_lead null this month, there is no recurring backdrop to set aside: this is a clean break, a newly surfaced move in a category that also appears in two other neighborhoods in the top five.
Citywide volume is down 5.6% against the prior 12 months — 13,472 incidents versus 14,268 the year before. The signal mix is heavily weighted toward fresh spikes: 16 spike signals and 18 sustained-shift signals across 50 neighborhoods, against just 4 below-trend signals. Mt. Airy and Camp Washington both show other-larceny spikes alongside Riverside_Sedamsville, suggesting the move is not isolated to a single neighborhood. Millvale aggravated assault also surfaces in the top five.
Other larceny appearing across three distinct neighborhoods in the same briefing is the structural story to watch going forward. The category-wide nature of the move — rather than a single outlier — makes this month's signal more durable than a single-point anomaly. Whether it persists into May or resolves as a one-month cluster will determine whether it becomes the dominant backdrop for subsequent briefings.
Cincinnati Crime Frequently Asked Questions
Trailing 12 months vs the prior 12 months, computed from the same NIBRS-aligned categories used everywhere else on the page. Updated each April 2026 briefing.
Is crime in Cincinnati down?
Yes — citywide incident volume is 5.6% lower than the prior 12 months.
Across the trailing 12-month window we tracked 13,472 incidents in NIBRS-aligned categories, compared to 14,268 in the year before — down 796 incidents.
Is violent crime in Cincinnati down?
Yes — homicide, robbery, aggravated assault, and sexual assault are down 7.8% combined in the trailing 12 months.
That's 1,715 violent incidents in the past year against 1,860 in the prior year. See the by-category section below for the per-bucket breakdown.
Is property crime in Cincinnati down?
Yes — burglary, theft from vehicle, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and arson are down 5.2% combined in the trailing 12 months.
That's 11,757 property incidents in the past year against 12,408 in the prior year.
What are the safest neighborhoods to stay in Cincinnati?
- California — 1.7 incidents per 1,000 residents
- Columbia Tusculum — 2.9 incidents per 1,000 residents
- English Woods_North Fairmount — 7.8 incidents per 1,000 residents
The three safest neighborhoods in Cincinnati, ranked by trailing-12-month incidents per 1,000 residents.
Computed as NIBRS-aligned trailing-12-month incident totals divided by the latest ACS 5-year residential population, expressed per 1,000 residents. Restricted to neighborhoods with at least 1,000 residents so park-only and industrial geographies — where visitor populations are not reflected in the residential denominator — are excluded.
Which neighborhood in Cincinnati saw the biggest crime drop?
Hartwell — 33.9% fewer incidents than the prior 12 months.
Hartwell logged 115 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 174 the year before.
Which neighborhood in Cincinnati saw the biggest crime increase?
Camp Washington — 40.9% more incidents than the prior 12 months.
Camp Washington logged 186 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 132 the year before.
The denominators behind the numbers
River-fronting, hill-and-valley city. The Ohio River anchors the southern edge; the Mill Creek Valley splits the West Side from the urban core, and a ring of hilltop neighborhoods (Mt. Adams, Mt. Auburn, Mt. Lookout, Mt. Washington, Mt. Airy) surrounds the basin where downtown sits.
ACS 2023 5-year estimates, county-level (Hamilton County). Includes Cincinnati plus other Hamilton municipalities in the demographic aggregates, county is the smallest official ACS geography matching where Cincinnati city data lives.
City-level only. We deliberately do not juxtapose these with neighborhood-level crime data — see the methodology for why.
Compact downtown and Over-the-Rhine core sit in a basin walled by hilltop neighborhoods reached by historic inclines and steep arterials. Crime-rate denominators differ sharply between the dense basin neighborhoods and the lower-density hilltop and West Side communities.
CPD migrated its public crime feed to the STARS schema on 2024-06-03. Pre-migration data comes from the PDI (Police Data Initiative) Crime Incidents dataset, which used granular UCR groupings; post-migration data uses the rolled-up STARS categories. Vandalism and arson are excluded from the analysis at the city page level because STARS does not expose enough offense detail to recover them post-migration; both buckets would render asymmetric across the migration boundary.
Every neighborhood, color-coded
Largest moves this month
| # | Neighborhood | Category | MoM | YoY 12mo | vs baseline | 90-day trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riverside_Sedamsville | Other Larceny | -67% | +52% | +352% | SPIKE | |
| 02 | Mt. Airy | Other Larceny | -22% | +19% | +54% | SPIKE | |
| 03 | Millvale | Aggravated Assault | +200% | +38% | +127% | SPIKE | |
| 04 | Camp Washington | Other Larceny | -33% | +120% | +84% | SPIKE | |
| 05 | Roll Hill | Aggravated Assault | +33% | +24% | +93% | SPIKE | |
| 06 | Evanston | Theft from Vehicle | -50% | +8% | +75% | SPIKE | |
| 07 | West End | Other Larceny | -8% | +10% | +54% | SPIKE | |
| 08 | CUF | Aggravated Assault | +400% | +8% | +87% | SPIKE | |
| 09 | Roselawn | Other Larceny | 0% | +21% | +48% | SPIKE | |
| 10 | Spring Grove Village | Burglary | -100% | +67% | +84% | SPIKE | |
| 11 | Oakley | Other Larceny | -25% | +49% | +73% | SPIKE | |
| 12 | Millvale | Other Larceny | 0% | +11% | +79% | SPIKE |
The long arc — eight years of monthly counts
Four neighborhoods worth your time
Riverside_Sedamsville
The past 12 months saw 38 incidents — about 352% above the 8 average from prior years.
Read briefing →SPIKE · OTHER LARCENYMt. Airy
The past 12 months saw 101 incidents — about 54% above the 65 average from prior years.
Read briefing →SPIKE · AGGRAVATED ASSAULTMillvale
The past 12 months saw 22 incidents — about 127% above the 10 average from prior years.
Read briefing →SPIKE · OTHER LARCENYCamp Washington
The past 12 months saw 77 incidents — about 84% above the 42 average from prior years.
Read briefing →Hour-of-day, day-of-week, and seasonality
Distribution of bucketed incidents citywide across the full analysis window. Useful for routine context — shopping-strip thefts vs. late-night assaults read very differently when you can see when each typically happens.
All 50 Cincinnati neighborhoods
Crime rate trends and April 2026 briefings for every tracked neighborhood. Alphabetical.
- Avondale crime rate
- Bond Hill crime rate
- California crime rate
- Camp Washington crime rate
- Carthage crime rate
- Clifton crime rate
- College Hill crime rate
- Columbia Tusculum crime rate
- Corryville crime rate
- CUF crime rate
- Downtown crime rate
- East End crime rate
- East Price Hill crime rate
- East Walnut Hills crime rate
- East Westwood crime rate
- English Woods_North Fairmount crime rate
- Evanston crime rate
- Hartwell crime rate
- Hyde Park crime rate
- Kennedy Heights crime rate
- Linwood crime rate
- Lower Price Hill_Queensgate crime rate
- Madisonville crime rate
- Millvale crime rate
- Mt. Adams crime rate
- Mt. Airy crime rate
- Mt. Auburn crime rate
- Mt. Lookout crime rate
- Mt. Washington crime rate
- North Avondale crime rate
- North Fairmount crime rate
- Northside crime rate
- Oakley crime rate
- Over-the-Rhine crime rate
- Paddock Hills crime rate
- Pendleton crime rate
- Pleasant Ridge crime rate
- Riverside crime rate
- Riverside_Sedamsville crime rate
- Roll Hill crime rate
- Roselawn crime rate
- Sayler Park crime rate
- South Cumminsville crime rate
- South Fairmount crime rate
- Spring Grove Village crime rate
- Walnut Hills crime rate
- West End crime rate
- West Price Hill crime rate
- Westwood crime rate
- Winton Hills crime rate
How We Calculate Cincinnati Crime Trends
Open about how we define spikes, what we exclude as noise, where the data comes from, and how often the model is wrong.