Cincinnati Crime Rate Trends
Data sourced from the Cincinnati Police Department (CPD) Open Data portal and analyzed by Public Analyst.ai: 50 neighborhoods, 8 incident categories, twelve months of trailing comparison. Browse the rankings, scan the multi-year trends, or open a neighborhood-level breakdown.
CUF theft-from-vehicle rose 53% against its multi-year baseline, the strongest single-neighborhood signal in Cincinnati this briefing and the one that tops the rankings this month. Camp Washington other-larceny, which led last month, remains a persistent presence in the top five alongside Roselawn, also showing an other-larceny spike, but the fresh story this period is CUF and the shift in category.
Citywide volume is down 9.9% against the prior 12 months, 12,928 incidents against 14,347 in the year before. The signal mix this month leans toward elevated activity rather than declines: 16 spikes and 25 sustained-shift signals against just 3 below-trend signals, across 50 neighborhoods. CUF also registers an aggravated assault spike in the top five, as does Roll Hill, making two neighborhoods with multi-category signals worth tracking.
The structural direction is still downward citywide, and the prior-year comparison reflects that clearly. What this month adds is a concentration of upward pressure in specific neighborhoods, particularly CUF, where two categories moved in the same direction simultaneously. Whether that pairing holds into October or resolves as a single noisy month is the open question; the broader multi-year trend hasn't reversed.
Cincinnati Crime Frequently Asked Questions
Trailing 12 months vs the prior 12 months, computed from the same NIBRS-aligned categories used everywhere else on the page. Updated each September 2026 briefing.
Is crime in Cincinnati down?
Yes. Citywide incident volume is 9.9% lower than the prior 12 months.
Across the trailing 12-month window we tracked 12,928 incidents in NIBRS-aligned categories, compared to 14,347 in the year before, down 1,419 incidents.
Is violent crime in Cincinnati down?
Yes. Homicide, robbery, aggravated assault, and sexual assault are down 4.8% combined in the trailing 12 months.
That's 1,752 violent incidents in the past year against 1,841 in the prior year. See the by-category section below for the per-bucket breakdown.
Is property crime in Cincinnati down?
Yes. Burglary, theft from vehicle, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and arson are down 10.6% combined in the trailing 12 months.
That's 11,176 property incidents in the past year against 12,506 in the prior year.
What are the safest neighborhoods to stay in Cincinnati?
- California — 1.7 incidents per 1,000 residents
- Columbia Tusculum — 2.3 incidents per 1,000 residents
- Mt. Washington — 9.3 incidents per 1,000 residents
The three safest neighborhoods in Cincinnati, ranked by trailing-12-month incidents per 1,000 residents.
Computed as NIBRS-aligned trailing-12-month incident totals divided by the latest ACS 5-year residential population, expressed per 1,000 residents. Restricted to neighborhoods with at least 1,000 residents so park-only and industrial geographies, where visitor populations are not reflected in the residential denominator, are excluded.
Which neighborhood in Cincinnati saw the biggest crime drop?
Hyde Park: 45.3% fewer incidents than the prior 12 months.
Hyde Park logged 128 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 234 the year before.
Which neighborhood in Cincinnati saw the biggest crime increase?
Roll Hill: 55.1% more incidents than the prior 12 months.
Roll Hill logged 107 incidents in the trailing 12 months against 69 the year before.
The denominators behind the numbers
River-fronting, hill-and-valley city. The Ohio River anchors the southern edge; the Mill Creek Valley splits the West Side from the urban core, and a ring of hilltop neighborhoods (Mt. Adams, Mt. Auburn, Mt. Lookout, Mt. Washington, Mt. Airy) surrounds the basin where downtown sits.
ACS 2024 5-year estimates, county-level (Hamilton County). Includes Cincinnati plus other Hamilton municipalities in the demographic aggregates, county is the smallest official ACS geography matching where Cincinnati city data lives.
City-level only. We deliberately do not juxtapose these with neighborhood-level crime data — see the methodology for why.
Compact downtown and Over-the-Rhine core sit in a basin walled by hilltop neighborhoods reached by historic inclines and steep arterials. Crime-rate denominators differ sharply between the dense basin neighborhoods and the lower-density hilltop and West Side communities.
CPD migrated its public crime feed to the STARS schema on 2024-06-03. Pre-migration data comes from the PDI (Police Data Initiative) Crime Incidents dataset, which used granular UCR groupings; post-migration data uses the rolled-up STARS categories. Vandalism and arson are excluded from the analysis at the city page level because STARS does not expose enough offense detail to recover them post-migration; both buckets would render asymmetric across the migration boundary.
Every neighborhood, color-coded
Largest moves this month
| # | Neighborhood | Category | MoM | YoY 12mo | vs baseline | 90-day trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Camp Washington | Other Larceny | +20% | +181% | +184% | SPIKE | |
| 02 | Roselawn | Other Larceny | -40% | +36% | +71% | SPIKE | |
| 03 | CUF | Theft from Vehicle | -25% | +47% | +53% | SPIKE | |
| 04 | CUF | Aggravated Assault | -50% | +42% | +148% | SPIKE | |
| 05 | Roll Hill | Aggravated Assault | -50% | +80% | +141% | SPIKE | |
| 06 | Winton Hills | Other Larceny | -58% | +58% | +51% | SPIKE | |
| 07 | Millvale | Aggravated Assault | -33% | +22% | +125% | SPIKE | |
| 08 | Winton Hills | Aggravated Assault | +100% | +69% | +101% | SPIKE | |
| 09 | Westwood | Aggravated Assault | -22% | +25% | +51% | SPIKE | |
| 10 | Riverside_Sedamsville | Other Larceny | -50% | 0% | +228% | SPIKE | |
| 11 | West End | Aggravated Assault | +100% | +16% | +39% | SPIKE | |
| 12 | Oakley | Other Larceny | +73% | +25% | +64% | SPIKE |
The long arc — eight years of monthly counts
Four neighborhoods worth your time
Camp Washington
The past 12 months saw 118 incidents — about 184% above the 42 average from prior years.
Read briefing →SPIKE · OTHER LARCENYRoselawn
The past 12 months saw 183 incidents — about 71% above the 107 average from prior years.
Read briefing →SPIKE · THEFT FROM VEHICLECUF
The past 12 months saw 252 incidents — about 53% above the 165 average from prior years.
Read briefing →SPIKE · AGGRAVATED ASSAULTCUF
The past 12 months saw 37 incidents — about 148% above the 15 average from prior years.
Read briefing →Hour-of-day, day-of-week, and seasonality
Distribution of bucketed incidents citywide across the full analysis window. Useful for routine context — shopping-strip thefts vs. late-night assaults read very differently when you can see when each typically happens.
All 50 Cincinnati neighborhoods
Crime rate trends and September 2026 briefings for every tracked neighborhood. Alphabetical.
- Avondale crime rate
- Bond Hill crime rate
- California crime rate
- Camp Washington crime rate
- Carthage crime rate
- Clifton crime rate
- College Hill crime rate
- Columbia Tusculum crime rate
- Corryville crime rate
- CUF crime rate
- Downtown crime rate
- East End crime rate
- East Price Hill crime rate
- East Walnut Hills crime rate
- East Westwood crime rate
- English Woods_North Fairmount crime rate
- Evanston crime rate
- Hartwell crime rate
- Hyde Park crime rate
- Kennedy Heights crime rate
- Linwood crime rate
- Lower Price Hill_Queensgate crime rate
- Madisonville crime rate
- Millvale crime rate
- Mt. Adams crime rate
- Mt. Airy crime rate
- Mt. Auburn crime rate
- Mt. Lookout crime rate
- Mt. Washington crime rate
- North Avondale crime rate
- North Fairmount crime rate
- Northside crime rate
- Oakley crime rate
- Over-the-Rhine crime rate
- Paddock Hills crime rate
- Pendleton crime rate
- Pleasant Ridge crime rate
- Riverside crime rate
- Riverside_Sedamsville crime rate
- Roll Hill crime rate
- Roselawn crime rate
- Sayler Park crime rate
- South Cumminsville crime rate
- South Fairmount crime rate
- Spring Grove Village crime rate
- Walnut Hills crime rate
- West End crime rate
- West Price Hill crime rate
- Westwood crime rate
- Winton Hills crime rate
How We Calculate Cincinnati Crime Trends
Open about how we define spikes, what we exclude as noise, where the data comes from, and how often the model is wrong.