San Francisco Crime Rate Briefing Archive
Every monthly briefing Public Analyst.ai has published for San Francisco, in reverse chronological order. Each entry preserves the narrative as written that month — anomalies, headline, and the chart that explained it. The data on the live city page is current; the data on each archived month is not.
2026
Noe Valley other larceny ran 94% above its multi-year baseline.
Noe Valley other larceny ran 94% above its multi-year baseline — 364 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: South of Market vandalism also flagged.
A rare homicide cluster — 2 incidents in Financial District/South Beach this month.
Financial District/South Beach homicide led the leaderboard this month. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Noe Valley other larceny also flagged.
Noe Valley other larceny ran 99% above its multi-year baseline.
Noe Valley other larceny ran 99% above its multi-year baseline — 364 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 26% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Chinatown aggravated assault also flagged.
Chinatown aggravated assault climbed 41% above its multi-year baseline.
Chinatown aggravated assault ran 41% above its multi-year baseline — 56 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Noe Valley other larceny also flagged.
Noe Valley other larceny ran 100% above its multi-year baseline.
Noe Valley other larceny ran 100% above its multi-year baseline — 358 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Lakeshore burglary also flagged.
Lakeshore burglary climbed 50% above its multi-year baseline.
Lakeshore burglary ran 50% above its multi-year baseline — 68 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 24% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Noe Valley other larceny also flagged.
Noe Valley other larceny ran 113% above its multi-year baseline.
Noe Valley other larceny ran 113% above its multi-year baseline — 376 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 24% lighter than a year ago. 180 flags in total — 2 spikes, 162 below-trend, 1 rare-event across 41 neighborhoods.
A rare homicide flag surfaced in Chinatown.
A rare homicide cluster surfaced in Chinatown this month. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 24% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Noe Valley other larceny also flagged.
Bernal Heights other larceny ran 72% above its multi-year baseline.
Bernal Heights other larceny ran 72% above its multi-year baseline — 430 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. 170 flags in total — 2 spikes, 151 below-trend, 2 rare-event across 41 neighborhoods.
A rare arson flag surfaced in Lincoln Park.
A rare arson cluster surfaced in Lincoln Park this month. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Bernal Heights other larceny also flagged.
Bernal Heights other larceny ran 72% above its multi-year baseline.
Bernal Heights other larceny ran 72% above its multi-year baseline — 429 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. 150 flags in total — 2 spikes, 130 below-trend, 3 rare-event across 41 neighborhoods.
A rare homicide flag surfaced in Outer Richmond.
Outer Richmond homicide led the leaderboard this month. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Bernal Heights other larceny also flagged.
Bernal Heights other larceny ran 64% above its multi-year baseline.
Bernal Heights other larceny ran 64% above its multi-year baseline — 406 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. 141 flags across 41 neighborhoods this month.
Marina theft from vehicle kept falling as the city ran 26% lighter year-over-year.
Marina theft from vehicle held below trend, the month's biggest single signal. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 26% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Bernal Heights other larceny also flagged.
Bernal Heights other larceny ran 62% above its multi-year baseline.
Bernal Heights other larceny ran 62% above its multi-year baseline — 400 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 24% lighter than a year ago. 130 flags in total — 3 spikes, 111 below-trend, 1 rare-event across 41 neighborhoods.