Oakland Crime Rate Briefing Archive
Every monthly briefing Public Analyst.ai has published for Oakland, in reverse chronological order. Each entry preserves the narrative as written that month — anomalies, headline, and the chart that explained it. The data on the live city page is current; the data on each archived month is not.
2026
Millsmont homicide ran 83% above its multi-year baseline.
Millsmont homicide ran 83% above its multi-year baseline — 20 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 21% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Piedmont Pines other larceny also flagged.
Rockridge theft from vehicle ran 87% above its multi-year baseline.
Rockridge theft from vehicle ran 87% above its multi-year baseline — 781 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 21% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Millsmont homicide also flagged.
Millsmont homicide ran 89% above its multi-year baseline.
Millsmont homicide ran 89% above its multi-year baseline — 20 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 22% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Seminary Park other larceny also flagged.
Seminary Park other larceny ran 55% above its multi-year baseline.
Seminary Park other larceny ran 55% above its multi-year baseline — 108 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 23% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Seminary Park vandalism also flagged.
A rare arson cluster — 2 incidents in Piedmont Avenue this month.
Piedmont Avenue arson led the leaderboard this month. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 25% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Seminary Park other larceny also flagged.
Seminary Park other larceny ran 66% above its multi-year baseline.
Seminary Park other larceny ran 66% above its multi-year baseline — 114 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 26% lighter than a year ago. 161 flags across 35 neighborhoods this month.
Adams Point vandalism kept falling as the city ran 28% lighter year-over-year.
Adams Point vandalism held below trend, the month's biggest single signal. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 28% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Seminary Park other larceny also flagged.
Seminary Park other larceny ran 56% above its multi-year baseline.
Seminary Park other larceny ran 56% above its multi-year baseline — 106 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 30% lighter than a year ago. 177 flags in total — 5 spikes, 171 below-trend, 1 rare-event across 35 neighborhoods.
Adams Point vandalism kept falling as the city ran 31% lighter year-over-year.
Adams Point vandalism held below trend, the month's biggest single signal. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 31% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Elmhurst other larceny also flagged.
Elmhurst other larceny climbed 25% above its multi-year baseline.
Elmhurst other larceny ran 25% above its multi-year baseline — 666 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 31% lighter than a year ago. 165 flags in total — 5 spikes, 159 below-trend, 1 rare-event across 35 neighborhoods.
Temescal homicide climbed 39% above its multi-year baseline.
Temescal homicide ran 39% above its multi-year baseline — 26 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 31% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Elmhurst other larceny also flagged.
Elmhurst other larceny climbed 28% above its multi-year baseline.
Elmhurst other larceny ran 28% above its multi-year baseline — 678 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 32% lighter than a year ago. 153 flags across 35 neighborhoods this month.
Adams Point vandalism kept falling as the city ran 31% lighter year-over-year.
Adams Point vandalism held below trend, the month's biggest single signal. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 31% lighter than a year ago. Behind the headline: Seminary Park other larceny also flagged.
Eastlake other larceny climbed 30% above its multi-year baseline.
Eastlake other larceny ran 30% above its multi-year baseline — 269 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Across the city, the trailing 12-month total is 30% lighter than a year ago. 120 flags across 35 neighborhoods this month.