Archived snapshotMarch 2026 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Oakland · monthly briefing

Oakland Crime Rate — March 2026

Piedmont Pines other larceny climbed 33% above its multi-year baseline.

Piedmont Pines other-larceny is the headline signal for March 2026 — a fresh spike that moves the category to the top of Oakland's rankings this month. The prior briefing lead, Millsmont homicide, remains in the top five and is worth watching, but homicide has now been the dominant bucket across recent months; other-larceny represents a category shift in what's driving the anomaly rankings.

Citywide volume is down 20.6% against the prior 12 months — 27,981 incidents versus 35,258 the year before. The signal mix leans heavily toward declines: 68 sustained-shift signals and 64 below-trend signals across 35 neighborhoods, against just 3 spikes and 1 streak break. Rockridge theft-from-vehicle and San Antonio robbery also surface in the top five, the latter running below trend.

The structural story for Oakland in March 2026 is a broad, sustained decline — 136 total signals with the overwhelming majority pointing downward. The Piedmont Pines other-larceny spike is new this month and breaks from that pattern, making it the one category to track as April data comes in. Millsmont homicide remains the persistent backdrop.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYOTHER LARCENY · PIEDMONT PINES · 24-MO COUNT
0510μ 4.4 · σ 2.2 · trailing 12-mo2024-042026-03ARCHIVED
Piedmont Pines other larceny, monthly count over 24 months ending in March 2026. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is March. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

Robbery ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 39% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “March 2026Oakland,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /oakland/2026/march