Chicago Crime Rate Briefing Archive
Every monthly briefing Public Analyst.ai has published for Chicago, in reverse chronological order. Each entry preserves the narrative as written that month — anomalies, headline, and the chart that explained it. The data on the live city page is current; the data on each archived month is not.
2026
Lower West Side sexual assault ran 109% above its multi-year baseline.
Lower West Side sexual assault ran 109% above its multi-year baseline, 59 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 6% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Gage Park other larceny also moved.
Gage Park other larceny ran 117% above its multi-year baseline.
Gage Park other larceny ran 117% above its multi-year baseline, 787 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 7% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Hegewisch vandalism also moved.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 84% above its multi-year baseline.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 84% above its multi-year baseline, 151 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 7% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Gage Park other larceny also moved.
Armour Square sexual assault ran 286% above its multi-year baseline.
Armour Square sexual assault ran 286% above its multi-year baseline, 23 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 6% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Hegewisch vandalism also moved.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 92% above its multi-year baseline.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 92% above its multi-year baseline, 157 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 9% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Armour Square sexual assault also moved.
Armour Square sexual assault ran 305% above its multi-year baseline.
Armour Square sexual assault ran 305% above its multi-year baseline, 24 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 8% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Hegewisch vandalism also moved.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 97% above its multi-year baseline.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 97% above its multi-year baseline, 161 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 10% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Armour Square sexual assault also moved.
Armour Square sexual assault ran 237% above its multi-year baseline.
Armour Square sexual assault ran 237% above its multi-year baseline, 20 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 11% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Hegewisch vandalism also moved.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 81% above its multi-year baseline.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 81% above its multi-year baseline, 147 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 11% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Archer Heights other larceny also moved.
Archer Heights other larceny ran 97% above its multi-year baseline.
Archer Heights other larceny ran 97% above its multi-year baseline, 412 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 12% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Hegewisch vandalism also moved.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 55% above its multi-year baseline.
Hegewisch vandalism ran 55% above its multi-year baseline, 126 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 12% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Archer Heights other larceny also moved.
Archer Heights other larceny ran 97% above its multi-year baseline.
Archer Heights other larceny ran 97% above its multi-year baseline, 406 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 11% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: East Side motor vehicle theft also moved.
East Side motor vehicle theft ran 217% above its multi-year baseline.
East Side motor vehicle theft ran 217% above its multi-year baseline, 223 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 10% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Archer Heights other larceny also moved.
Archer Heights other larceny ran 98% above its multi-year baseline.
Archer Heights other larceny ran 98% above its multi-year baseline, 401 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 10% below the prior 12 months. 200 signals in total: 15 spikes, 106 below-trend, 2 rare-event across 77 neighborhoods.
East Side motor vehicle theft ran 252% above its multi-year baseline.
East Side motor vehicle theft ran 252% above its multi-year baseline, 237 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 9% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Hegewisch other larceny also moved.
Archer Heights other larceny ran 104% above its multi-year baseline.
Archer Heights other larceny ran 104% above its multi-year baseline, 408 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 8% below the prior 12 months. 194 signals in total: 18 spikes, 97 below-trend, 2 rare-event across 77 neighborhoods.
Kenwood sexual assault ran 161% above its multi-year baseline.
Kenwood sexual assault ran 161% above its multi-year baseline, 32 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 7% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Archer Heights other larceny also moved.
Hegewisch other larceny ran 69% above its multi-year baseline.
Hegewisch other larceny ran 69% above its multi-year baseline, 184 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 7% below the prior 12 months. 192 signals in total: 21 spikes, 93 below-trend, 1 rare-event across 77 neighborhoods.
Kenwood sexual assault ran 147% above its multi-year baseline.
Kenwood sexual assault ran 147% above its multi-year baseline, 30 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 6% below the prior 12 months. Behind the headline: Archer Heights other larceny also moved.
Hegewisch other larceny ran 70% above its multi-year baseline.
Hegewisch other larceny ran 70% above its multi-year baseline, 184 incidents in the trailing 12 months. Citywide volume drifted 4% below the prior 12 months. 184 signals in total: 37 spikes, 69 below-trend, 1 rare-event across 77 neighborhoods.