Archived snapshotJanuary 2025 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Chicago · monthly briefing

Chicago Crime Rate — January 2025

Hegewisch other larceny ran 70% above its multi-year baseline.

Hegewisch other-larceny is the sharpest signal in January 2025, registering the most extreme deviation of any tracked category-neighborhood combination this month. The category dominated the top of the rankings: Beverly and Archer Heights also showed fresh other-larceny spikes, making it the clearest structural story of the briefing.

Citywide volume is down 4.0% against the prior 12 months — 145,945 incidents against 152,086 in the year before. The mix is heavily weighted toward upward pressure, however: 37 spikes against just 4 below-trend signals, with 65 sustained-shift signals and 77 zero-event signals rounding out the 184 total. Kenwood sexual assault and East Side motor-vehicle theft also appear in the top five, keeping the picture multi-category.

With no prior-month recurring lead to displace, January reads as a fresh opening. The other-larceny cluster across Hegewisch, Beverly, and Archer Heights is one month old — not yet a sustained shift, but concentrated enough across multiple neighborhoods to watch in February's briefing. The overall decline holds, but the spike count is high relative to the below-trend count.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYOTHER LARCENY · HEGEWISCH · 24-MO COUNT
01224μ 15.3 · σ 4.3 · trailing 12-mo2023-022025-01ARCHIVED
Hegewisch other larceny, monthly count over 24 months ending in January 2025. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is January. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

No sustained-shift signals this month — every category sits within its trailing-year range.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “January 2025Chicago,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /chicago/2025/january