Archived snapshotFebruary 2026 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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New York · monthly briefing

New York Crime Rate — February 2026

Bronx CD12 — Williamsbridge / Baychester sexual assault ran 77% above its multi-year baseline.

Sexual assault rose in Bronx CD12 — Williamsbridge / Baychester, the most prominent single-neighborhood signal in February 2026. The category appears three times in the top five across separate boroughs — Bronx CD12, Brooklyn CD11 — Bensonhurst, and Queens CD13 — Queens Village / Cambria Heights all registered spikes. That breadth across geographically distinct districts is the defining pattern of this briefing.

Citywide volume is down 5.7% against the prior 12 months — 261,613 incidents against 277,553. The signal mix carries that decline in its structure: 54 sustained-shift signals and 47 below-trend signals against 24 fresh spikes across 59 neighborhoods. Queens CD14 — Far Rockaway / Broad Channel and Brooklyn CD9 — South Crown Heights / Lefferts Gardens each show distinct moves — other larceny and aggravated assault, respectively — adding two separate categories to a month otherwise dominated by one.

With 126 total signals and the same category appearing at the top of rankings in three different neighborhoods, February 2026 is worth watching as a possible multi-district pattern rather than a localized outlier. The citywide trend remains below the prior 12-month baseline, but the concentration of sexual assault signals across boroughs is a structural question that the next month's data will help resolve.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYSEXUAL ASSAULT · BRONX CD12 — WILLIAMSBRIDGE / BAYCHESTER · 24-MO COUNT
02143μ 26.3 · σ 7.7 · trailing 12-mo2024-032026-02ARCHIVED
Bronx CD12 — Williamsbridge / Baychester sexual assault, monthly count over 24 months ending in February 2026. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is February. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

Homicide ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 28% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “February 2026New York,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /new-york/2026/february