New York Crime Rate — March 2026

Queens CD14 — Far Rockaway / Broad Channel other-larceny is the headline signal this month, the most statistically distinct single move in New York's March 2026 briefing. Sexual assault spikes across multiple neighborhoods — Bronx CD12 — Williamsbridge / Baychester, Brooklyn CD11 — Bensonhurst, and Queens CD8 — Hillcrest / Fresh Meadows all appear in the top five — had been the dominant category in recent rankings, but other-larceny in Far Rockaway is the freshest move this period.

Citywide volume is down 6.9% against the prior 12 months — 258,033 incidents against 277,228. Across 59 neighborhoods, the month produced 129 total signals: 59 sustained-shift signals, 50 below-trend signals, and 19 spikes, with 1 zero-event signal. The spike count is concentrated in a handful of categories, with sexual assault and other-larceny accounting for four of the five top-ranked moves. Brooklyn CD9 — South Crown Heights / Lefferts Gardens also registered a fresh aggravated-assault spike.

The broader arc here is a citywide decline that has held for at least 12 months, with the March mix consistent with prior months: sustained-shift and drop signals outnumber spikes by a wide margin. The sexual assault signals across three boroughs are worth tracking in April — whether they cluster further or dissipate will determine whether this is a structural move or a noisy month in a limited-volume category.

Sustained drops worth naming

Arson ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 39% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.