Aggravated assault in Queens CD3 — Jackson Heights / East Elmhurst is the lead signal for January 2025, a spike that registered the largest single-neighborhood move in this briefing. Aggravated assault also appeared in Brooklyn CD2 — Brooklyn Heights / Fort Greene and Queens CD6 — Forest Hills / Rego Park, making the category the dominant thread across the top of this month's rankings. No prior recurring lead carried over from previous months.
Citywide volume is down 2.5% against the prior 12 months — 279,462 incidents against 286,617 the year before. The signal mix this month leans toward fresh movement: 43 spikes and 54 sustained-shift signals across 59 neighborhoods, with drops accounting for 27 of the 125 total signals. Beyond the aggravated assault cluster, Queens CD13 — Queens Village / Cambria Heights registered a sexual assault spike and Bronx CD10 — Throgs Neck / Co-op City showed a burglary spike.
The month's pattern is largely new rather than recurring — no lead combo carried in from prior briefings, and the aggravated assault concentration across three Queens and Brooklyn districts is the structural story to track going forward. Citywide volume continues its modest downward trend, but the spike-heavy signal mix warrants attention in the February briefing.
Sustained drops worth naming
No sustained-shift signals this month — every category sits within its trailing-year range.
Public Analyst.ai, “January 2025 — New York,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /new-york/2025/january