Archived snapshotFebruary 2025 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
Return to current month
New York · monthly briefing

New York Crime Rate — February 2025

Bronx CD10 — Throgs Neck / Co-op City burglary ran 70% above its multi-year baseline.

Bronx CD10 — Throgs Neck / Co-op City produced the month's sharpest signal: a burglary spike that outpaced every other tracked movement in New York this briefing. Aggravated assault in Brooklyn CD2 — Brooklyn Heights / Fort Greene had held the top position the prior month, and that category remains active across multiple neighborhoods — but burglary in the Bronx is the lead this time.

Citywide volume is down 3.3% against the prior 12 months — 277,553 incidents against 287,124 — a continued but modest decline. The signal mix leans toward upward movement: 39 spikes and 56 sustained-shift signals against 26 below-trend readings across 59 neighborhoods. Queens CD3 — Jackson Heights / East Elmhurst appears twice in the top five, with both aggravated assault and burglary running above trend there.

With 122 total signals and spikes outnumbering drops by a wide margin, February 2025 is not a quiet month. The burglary pattern in Throgs Neck / Co-op City is a single-month reading — it hasn't yet established the duration that would mark it as a sustained shift — so March data will clarify whether this is an isolated move or the start of a longer run.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYBURGLARY · BRONX CD10 — THROGS NECK / CO-OP CITY · 24-MO COUNT
01938μ 16.3 · σ 6.6 · trailing 12-mo2023-032025-02ARCHIVED
Bronx CD10 — Throgs Neck / Co-op City burglary, monthly count over 24 months ending in February 2025. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is February. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

No sustained-shift signals this month — every category sits within its trailing-year range.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “February 2025New York,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /new-york/2025/february