Archived snapshotApril 2026 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Denver · monthly briefing

Denver Crime Rate — April 2026

Congress Park aggravated assault ran 69% above its multi-year baseline.

Congress Park aggravated assault is the headline signal this month — a sharp spike that stands out even against a backdrop of widespread other-larceny activity. Mar Lee other-larceny has been the recurring top-ranked combo, but the category driving that pattern is other-larceny broadly, and the freshest move this briefing is in a different bucket entirely: a violent-crime signal in Congress Park that hasn't appeared at this level before.

Citywide volume is down 9.4% against the prior 12 months — 39,751 incidents against 43,870 the year before. The signal mix still leans toward declines: 82 below-trend signals and 56 sustained-shift signals against 15 fresh spikes. That said, other-larceny spikes are spread across multiple neighborhoods — Mar Lee, Globeville, Lowry Field, and Civic Center all appear in the top five with the same signal type, which is the kind of category-wide pattern worth tracking.

The overall arc remains a multi-year volume decline, and one violent-crime spike in Congress Park doesn't change that picture. But the other-larceny cluster is new in its breadth — four distinct neighborhoods in the top five is a structural spread, not an isolated event. If the pattern holds into May, it shifts from a single-month read to a sustained shift.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYAGGRAVATED ASSAULT · CONGRESS PARK · 24-MO COUNT
037μ 2.8 · σ 2.1 · trailing 12-mo2024-052026-04ARCHIVED
Congress Park aggravated assault, monthly count over 24 months ending in April 2026. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is April. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

Motor Vehicle Theft ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 34% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “April 2026Denver,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /denver/2026/april