Walter Reed other-larceny is the lead signal for May 2026 — a sharp upward move, the largest individual anomaly this month. Colonial Village registered the same category in the top five, making other-larceny the one category bucking the dominant downward trend across Washington DC this briefing. No prior-month lead carried over; this is a fresh pairing at the top of the rankings.
Citywide volume is down 24.0% against the prior 12 months — 21,536 incidents against 28,354 the year before. The signal mix reflects that decline: 59 sustained-shift signals and 30 below-trend signals, against just 2 fresh spikes across 41 neighborhoods. Petworth theft-from-vehicle and Capitol View robbery both ran below trend, and Adams Morgan burglary joins them in the top five — three distinct categories, three distinct neighborhoods, all moving in the same direction.
The structural story this month is a broad, category-spanning decline that has now pushed citywide volume to a 24.0% gap versus the prior year. The Walter Reed and Colonial Village other-larceny moves are the exception to that pattern, not the rule. Whether they represent the start of a sustained shift or an isolated month is something the next briefing will clarify.
Sustained drops worth naming
Homicide ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 48% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.
Public Analyst.ai, “May 2026 — Washington DC,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /dc/2026/may