Archived snapshotMay 2026 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Cincinnati · monthly briefing

Cincinnati Crime Rate — May 2026

Corryville aggravated assault ran 192% above its multi-year baseline.

Corryville aggravated assault is the lead signal this month — a sharp above-trend move that tops the Cincinnati rankings for the first time. The same category also registered fresh spikes in Millvale and Roll Hill, making aggravated assault the dominant story across the top five. No prior-month recurring lead carries over; this is a new configuration at the top.

Citywide volume is down 6.8% against the prior 12 months — 13,471 incidents against 14,454. The mix is heavily weighted toward above-trend movement: 14 fresh spikes and 21 sustained-shift signals across 50 neighborhoods, against only 3 below-trend signals. Other larceny also surfaced in multiple neighborhoods, with Camp Washington and Riverside_Sedamsville both registering spikes in that category.

With 48 total signals and aggravated assault appearing three times in the top five, this briefing has more directional weight than a typical check-in month. The citywide decline holds at the aggregate level, but the neighborhood-level spike concentration in a single category is worth tracking into June to determine whether this is a one-month cluster or the start of a sustained shift.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYAGGRAVATED ASSAULT · CORRYVILLE · 24-MO COUNT
023μ 1.9 · σ 1.2 · trailing 12-mo2024-062026-05ARCHIVED
Corryville aggravated assault, monthly count over 24 months ending in May 2026. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is May. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

Motor Vehicle Theft ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 30% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “May 2026Cincinnati,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /cincinnati/2026/may