Corryville aggravated assault is the sharpest signal in Cincinnati this month — a fresh spike with no prior run at the top of the rankings. Aggravated assault is also up in Millvale and Roll Hill, making it the most frequently repeated category across the top five and the clearest structural story in May 2026.
Citywide volume is down 6.8% against the prior 12 months — 13,467 incidents versus 14,454 in the year before. The signal mix, however, cuts against that headline: 14 spikes and 21 sustained-shift signals against just 3 below-trend signals, across 50 neighborhoods. Camp Washington and Riverside_Sedamsville both registered other-larceny spikes, adding a second recurring category to the month's pattern.
The citywide decline holds, but the internal mix is worth tracking. Three neighborhoods showing aggravated assault spikes in the same briefing, alongside a multi-site other-larceny move, is a different composition than the prior months' sustained-shift-heavy signal counts. Whether these represent isolated clusters or early movement in a broader shift will be clearer in the June briefing.
Sustained drops worth naming
Motor Vehicle Theft ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 30% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.
Public Analyst.ai, “May 2026 — Cincinnati,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /cincinnati/2026/may