Archived snapshotMarch 2026 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Seattle · monthly briefing

Seattle Crime Rate — March 2026

Northwest theft from vehicle dropped alongside a 9% citywide decline.

The month's most prominent fresh signal is Northwest theft from vehicle, which ran well below its multi-year baseline — the strongest single-category move in Seattle this briefing. Delridge other-larceny had been the citywide lead category coming into March; it remains elevated and holds the top spot in the underlying rankings, but the fresher story is the broad retreat in theft from vehicle across the city.

Citywide volume is down 9.4% against the prior 12 months — 48,036 incidents against 53,049 in the year before. The mix tilts heavily toward declines: 22 sustained-shift signals and 10 below-trend signals across 20 neighborhoods, against just one fresh spike. Greater Duwamish vandalism and Rainier Valley robbery both ran below trend, reinforcing the direction of the citywide move.

At 45 total signals across 20 neighborhoods, March is an active briefing — but the activity is concentrated in the same direction. The Delridge other-larceny spike is the only counter-signal in the top five. Whether the broad decline across theft and property categories holds into April is the main thing to track; nothing in this month's data suggests a reversal is underway.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYTHEFT FROM VEHICLE · NORTHWEST · 24-MO COUNT
03978μ 36.3 · σ 6.6 · trailing 12-mo2024-042026-03ARCHIVED
Northwest theft from vehicle, monthly count over 24 months ending in March 2026. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is March. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

No sustained-shift signals this month — every category sits within its trailing-year range.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “March 2026Seattle,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /seattle/2026/march