Queens CD14 — Far Rockaway / Broad Channel registered the month's most prominent fresh signal: an other-larceny spike that ranks first across all 128 tracked signals this briefing. The prior lead, sexual assault in Bronx CD12 — Williamsbridge / Baychester, remains visible in the top five — that category has now drawn attention across multiple neighborhoods — but the headline this month shifts to a new bucket.
Citywide volume is down 5.1% against the prior 12 months, 269,109 incidents against 283,624. The signal mix is unusually balanced: 32 spikes against 34 below-trend signals, with 61 sustained-shift signals running beneath both. Bronx CD12 — Williamsbridge / Baychester appears twice in the top five — other-larceny and vandalism both moved — and Queens CD13 — Queens Village / Cambria Heights added a second sexual assault spike alongside the Bronx reading.
The overall decline holds across 59 neighborhoods with tracked signals, and the structural pattern from prior months remains intact. The sexual assault signals across two separate Queens and Bronx districts are worth monitoring in December's briefing — two geographically distinct spikes in the same category in the same month is a pattern the data doesn't yet resolve as sustained or isolated.
Sustained drops worth naming
Arson ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 30% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.
Public Analyst.ai, “November 2025 — New York,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /new-york/2025/november