Archived snapshotSeptember 2024 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Los Angeles · monthly briefing

Los Angeles Crime Rate — September 2024

Cypress Park other larceny ran 89% above its multi-year baseline.

Cypress Park other larceny is the lead signal for September 2024 — a fresh spike that stands as the most statistically pronounced move across Los Angeles this month. No demoted backdrop competes for attention here; this is the first month this combination has topped the rankings.

Citywide volume is down 21.0% against the prior 12 months — 117,926 incidents against 149,203 the year before. The signal mix is heavily weighted toward declines: 324 below-trend signals and 268 sustained-shift signals across 114 neighborhoods, against just 12 spikes. Other larceny spikes are the exception in an otherwise down month, appearing in West Hills and Hancock Park alongside Cypress Park. Arleta motor vehicle theft is the one non-larceny entry in the top five.

The other-larceny pattern across multiple neighborhoods — Cypress Park, West Hills, Hancock Park, Wilmington — is the thread to watch going into October. Whether this is a coordinated or coincidental cluster in a single month, or the start of a sustained shift in that category, the next briefing will have more to say. The broader citywide decline, now running at 21.0% below the prior year, otherwise holds.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYOTHER LARCENY · CYPRESS PARK · 24-MO COUNT
0917μ 8.8 · σ 3.0 · trailing 12-mo2022-102024-09ARCHIVED
Cypress Park other larceny, monthly count over 24 months ending in September 2024. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is September. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

Homicide ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 44% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “September 2024Los Angeles,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /los-angeles/2024/september