Los Angeles Crime Rate — November 2024

Echo Park other larceny is the lead signal for November 2024, an extreme outlier that stands apart from every other tracked category this month. Four of the top five signals are other-larceny spikes — Echo Park, Hancock Park, Boyle Heights, and Wilmington all registered above-trend moves in the same bucket — making this a category-wide pattern rather than a single-neighborhood anomaly.

Citywide volume is down 30.6% against the prior 12 months, 104,740 incidents against 150,947 the year before. That broad decline is the dominant structural fact: 430 below-trend signals and 336 sustained-shift signals this month, against just 7 spikes across 114 neighborhoods. The Arleta motor vehicle theft spike is the one fresh outlier outside the larceny cluster.

The other-larceny concentration across four geographically dispersed neighborhoods is the one pattern that cuts against the citywide downtrend. Whether it holds into December or collapses back toward the baseline is the question this briefing opens. On every other tracked dimension, the multi-month decline in Los Angeles remains intact.

Sustained drops worth naming

Homicide ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 65% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.