Los Angeles Crime Rate — June 2024

Sepulveda Basin theft from vehicle is the dominant signal in June 2024, registering the largest single-category move across Los Angeles this month. The shift stands alone at the top of the rankings — no prior-month lead is in the backdrop, as this is the first month that combination has appeared at the top. The four remaining top signals are all spikes as well, which sets the tone for a month where upward moves, not declines, dominate the headline tier.

Citywide volume is down 6.8% against the prior 12 months — 137,240 incidents against 147,306 the year before. Despite that broad decline, the spike count is notably elevated: 40 spikes sit alongside 148 below-trend signals and 102 sustained-shift signals across 114 neighborhoods. Other larceny is running above trend in multiple neighborhoods simultaneously — West Hills, Echo Park, and Cypress Park all appear in the top five — suggesting the category is worth tracking across the broader city, not just in isolated pockets.

The structural backdrop is still one of declining citywide volume, and the 148 below-trend signals confirm that the multi-year direction holds. But the concentration of other-larceny spikes across three distinct neighborhoods in a single month is a new pattern in this briefing cycle. Whether that broadens in July or pulls back is the main question the next briefing will answer.

Sustained drops worth naming

Sexual Assault ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 26% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.