Archived snapshotJuly 2024 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
Return to current month
Los Angeles · monthly briefing

Los Angeles Crime Rate — July 2024

West Hills other larceny ran 99% above its multi-year baseline.

West Hills other larceny is the headline of July 2024 — a sharp spike that ranks as the most statistically extreme single signal in Los Angeles this month. Sepulveda Basin theft-from-vehicle has been the citywide lead category, but that bucket is now showing up across multiple neighborhoods, which shifts the lead this briefing to a fresh combination: West Hills, and the other-larceny category more broadly.

Citywide volume is down 11.7% against the prior 12 months — 130,713 incidents against 148,114 in the year before — a substantial reduction. The signal mix is still weighted toward declines: 213 below-trend signals and 150 sustained-shift signals against 24 fresh spikes. That said, the spikes that did surface cluster around larceny: Cypress Park and Echo Park both show up in the top five for other larceny, and Arleta registered a motor vehicle theft spike alongside them.

The larceny pattern this month is worth tracking. Other larceny spikes in three distinct neighborhoods — West Hills, Cypress Park, and Echo Park — in the same month is a concentration that hasn't appeared in recent briefings. The broader citywide decline holds firmly, but the July distribution of fresh spikes is narrower and more category-specific than typical.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYOTHER LARCENY · WEST HILLS · 24-MO COUNT
02959μ 40.0 · σ 7.0 · trailing 12-mo2022-082024-07ARCHIVED
West Hills other larceny, monthly count over 24 months ending in July 2024. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is July. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

Homicide ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 30% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “July 2024Los Angeles,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /los-angeles/2024/july