Cincinnati Crime Rate — June 2026

Camp Washington other larceny is the headline this month — the most statistically extreme single signal in Cincinnati's June 2026 briefing, and the first time this neighborhood-category combination has topped the citywide rankings. The move is sharp enough to stand apart from a month that is otherwise defined by a broad spread of above-trend signals across 50 neighborhoods.

Citywide volume is down 11.1% against the prior 12 months — 12,971 incidents against 14,585 — yet the anomaly mix tells a different story beneath that headline decline. Of the 50 tracked signals this month, 13 are fresh spikes and 24 are sustained shifts, with only 3 below-trend signals. Roll Hill and Millvale both registered aggravated assault spikes, and Riverside_Sedamsville appeared in the top five with its own other-larceny signal.

The structural pattern here is worth holding in view: the citywide total continues to run below last year's pace, but the internal composition has shifted toward above-trend activity in a wide range of neighborhoods. Whether the June spike distribution is the start of a sustained reversal or a single noisy month is something October's trailing figures will begin to clarify.

Sustained drops worth naming

Robbery ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 26% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.

How last month's forecasts performed

Forecasts for June were issued from data through May 2026. 3 of 8 citywide bucket forecasts (38%) landed inside their 95% prediction intervals.

Per-bucket coverage, MAPE, and bias across the full 12-month horizon live on the methodology page.