Archived snapshotJanuary 2026 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Seattle · monthly briefing

Seattle Crime Rate — January 2026

Northwest theft from vehicle kept falling as the city ran 10% lighter year-over-year.

Northwest theft from vehicle fell sharply this month — the clearest fresh signal in a January briefing otherwise tilted toward sustained declines. Delridge other-larceny, the prior month's lead, remains the backdrop: that category has been elevated, and it still appears at the top of the rankings this period. The new story is Northwest, where theft from vehicle dropped alongside robbery in the same neighborhood.

Citywide volume is down 10.5% against the prior 12 months — 48,294 incidents against 53,932. The mix is heavily weighted toward structural improvement: 26 sustained-shift signals and 9 below-trend signals, against just 1 fresh spike across 20 neighborhoods. Greater Duwamish vandalism and Rainier Valley robbery both ran below trend, reinforcing the broad direction of the month.

The 12 zero-event signals — categories with no recorded incidents in a neighborhood for the period — add an unusual texture to January. Whether the Northwest double-drop in theft from vehicle and robbery holds into February, or reflects seasonal quiet, is the clearest thing to track next month. The structural decline in citywide volume has been consistent; this briefing adds to that run without breaking from it.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYTHEFT FROM VEHICLE · NORTHWEST · 24-MO COUNT
03978μ 35.8 · σ 6.8 · trailing 12-mo2024-022026-01ARCHIVED
Northwest theft from vehicle, monthly count over 24 months ending in January 2026. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is January. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

No sustained-shift signals this month — every category sits within its trailing-year range.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “January 2026Seattle,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /seattle/2026/january