Archived snapshotOctober 2025 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Seattle · monthly briefing

Seattle Crime Rate — October 2025

Delridge other larceny climbed 36% above its multi-year baseline.

Delridge other-larceny is the dominant signal in October 2025, the strongest single-category move across Seattle this briefing. The shift registers as a spike against the neighborhood's multi-year baseline — no prior month this year produced a comparable move in that category. With no recurring lead from prior months, the Delridge pattern stands on its own as the fresh story.

Citywide volume is down 8.3% against the prior 12 months — 49,496 incidents vs 53,960 the year before. The 42 tracked signals this month break heavily toward structural declines: 23 sustained-shift signals and 12 zero-event signals, against just one spike and one streak break. Beacon Hill homicide registered a streak break, and Northwest theft-from-vehicle ran below trend, as did burglary in both West Seattle and Lake City.

The month reads as a continuation of Seattle's sustained downward trend, with the Delridge other-larceny spike the one category that broke from the pattern. Twenty neighborhoods registered signals, but the overwhelming majority point in the same direction — below baseline. The Beacon Hill homicide streak break is worth tracking in November: streak breaks either resolve quickly or mark a shift in direction.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYOTHER LARCENY · DELRIDGE · 24-MO COUNT
051102μ 68.2 · σ 14.2 · trailing 12-mo2023-112025-10ARCHIVED
Delridge other larceny, monthly count over 24 months ending in October 2025. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is October. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

No sustained-shift signals this month — every category sits within its trailing-year range.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “October 2025Seattle,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /seattle/2025/october