The month's most prominent fresh signal is a sexual assault spike in Brooklyn CD14 — Flatbush / Midwood, the largest single-neighborhood movement in April 2025. Aggravated assault in Queens CD3 — Jackson Heights / East Elmhurst had been the recurring backdrop heading into this briefing — that category has been the citywide lead — but the Brooklyn CD14 sexual assault move is the new signal that leads this month.
Citywide volume is down 3.2% against the prior 12 months — 277,090 incidents against 286,376 in the year before. The anomaly mix tilts heavily toward spikes: 37 above-trend signals against 26 below-trend, with 52 sustained-shift signals across 59 neighborhoods. Beyond the lead, aggravated assault appeared in both Brooklyn CD2 — Brooklyn Heights / Fort Greene and Queens CD3 — Jackson Heights / East Elmhurst, and sexual assault also registered in Queens CD13 — Queens Village / Cambria Heights.
The overall volume decline holds, but the spike-heavy anomaly mix — 37 spikes against 26 drops — marks a different internal shape than prior months. The aggravated assault pattern that dominated the prior rankings hasn't reversed; it simply shares the top tier with a new category this month. If sexual assault signals cluster again in May, that would be a pattern worth tracking.
Sustained drops worth naming
No sustained-shift signals this month — every category sits within its trailing-year range.
Public Analyst.ai, “April 2025 — New York,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /new-york/2025/april