Denver Crime Rate — January 2025

Central Park other-larceny is the month's strongest signal — an unusually sharp move above its multi-year baseline, the largest single-category shift in Denver this briefing. No demoted lead is in play; this is a fresh pattern, not a recurring one.

Citywide volume is down 14.6% against the prior 12 months — 44,639 incidents against 52,269 — a broad-based decline reflected in the signal mix: 111 below-trend signals and 73 sustained-shift signals against 26 above-trend spikes across 78 neighborhoods. Other larceny is the category showing the most concentrated activity; University Hills and College View - South Platte both appear in the top five alongside Central Park, and Montclair registered both a burglary spike and an other-larceny spike in the same period.

January 2025 is the first month in this run with other-larceny spikes clustering across multiple neighborhoods simultaneously. Whether that clustering reflects a shared seasonal driver or something more persistent will become clearer in the February data. The structural citywide decline holds, but the other-larceny pattern in the northeast and southeast neighborhoods is the one to track.

Sustained drops worth naming

Theft from Vehicle ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 32% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.