Archived snapshotOctober 2025 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Los Angeles · monthly briefing

Los Angeles Crime Rate — October 2025

Tarzana other larceny ran 82% above its multi-year baseline.

Tarzana other larceny rose 82% against its multi-year baseline, the strongest single-neighborhood signal in Los Angeles this briefing. There is no recurring lead from prior months to displace: this is the first month Tarzana other larceny has topped the rankings, and it arrives in a briefing that is otherwise dominated by fresh vandalism moves rather than any single sustained storyline.

Citywide volume is down 22.9% against the prior 12 months, 115,192 incidents against 149,406 in the year before, a substantial gap. The mix of signals tilts heavily toward declines: 237 below-trend signals and 240 sustained-shift signals against 38 fresh spikes across 114 neighborhoods. Encino appears twice in the top five, with both other larceny and vandalism moving above trend, and West Hills and Windsor Square each registered vandalism spikes as well.

The vandalism pattern across West Hills, Windsor Square, and Encino is the detail most worth tracking into November. Three neighborhoods showing the same category spike in the same month is a cluster, not noise, though whether it extends into a sustained run is something only the next briefing can confirm. The citywide decline meanwhile holds at a level well below any prior 12-month window in recent data, and the structural downward trend remains intact.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYOTHER LARCENY · TARZANA · 24-MO COUNT
03061μ 30.7 · σ 11.6 · trailing 12-mo2023-112025-10ARCHIVED
Tarzana other larceny, monthly count over 24 months ending in October 2025. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is October. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

Burglary ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 26% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “October 2025Los Angeles,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /los-angeles/2025/october