Archived snapshotJanuary 2024 · narrative + chart preserved as published · live data has moved on
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Los Angeles · monthly briefing

Los Angeles Crime Rate — January 2024

Silver Lake other larceny ran 254% above its multi-year baseline.

Silver Lake other larceny is the dominant signal in January 2024 — the single largest anomaly in Los Angeles this month, and the lead in a month where other larceny showed up in four of the top five tracked movements. There is no recurring lead to displace: this pattern is fresh, with no prior-month combo holding the top position.

Citywide volume is up 2.2% against the prior 12 months — 151,892 incidents against 148,623. The signal mix is heavily weighted toward spikes: 116 spike signals against 48 below-trend signals and 74 sustained-shift signals, across 114 neighborhoods. Hyde Park and Boyle Heights both registered other-larceny spikes alongside Silver Lake, and Leimert Park's motor vehicle theft was the only top-five signal outside that category.

The concentration of other-larceny signals across multiple unconnected neighborhoods — Silver Lake, Hyde Park, Boyle Heights, West Hills — is the detail that makes January 2024 worth tracking forward. Whether that pattern persists into February or collapses back to baseline is the open question; this briefing has one month of data, not a confirmed trend.

FIG 1 · LEAD ANOMALYOTHER LARCENY · SILVER LAKE · 24-MO COUNT
04590μ 62.9 · σ 11.0 · trailing 12-mo2022-022024-01ARCHIVED
Silver Lake other larceny, monthly count over 24 months ending in January 2024. The dashed line is the trailing-12-month mean for context. The final bar (highlighted) is January. Frozen view as published.

Sustained drops worth naming

No sustained-shift signals this month — every category sits within its trailing-year range.

CITEPublic Analyst.ai, “January 2024Los Angeles,” archived snapshot.Permanent URL: /los-angeles/2024/january