Seattle Crime Rate — July 2025

Northwest theft from vehicle is the lead signal this month — a below-trend drop that stands as the most statistically distinct movement in Seattle's July 2025 briefing. Delridge other-larceny had been the citywide lead category entering this month, but the same bucket showing up across a second neighborhood, Cascade, makes it the persistent backdrop rather than the fresh story. The new category driving attention is theft from vehicle, concentrated in Northwest.

Citywide volume is down 2.6% against the prior 12 months — 51,675 incidents versus 53,056 in the year before. The signal mix is weighted heavily toward structural rather than acute movement: 29 sustained-shift signals and 12 zero-event signals account for the bulk of the 47 total across 20 neighborhoods, with just 2 fresh spikes and 4 drops. Northwest also shows a below-trend robbery signal, and West Seattle burglary ran below trend as well.

The dominant pattern here is consolidation, not reversal. The two other-larceny spikes in Delridge and Cascade are worth tracking together — same category, adjacent months, two neighborhoods — but at one month they don't yet constitute a confirmed trend. The broader citywide arc remains a modest, steady decline, and nothing in July's mix breaks materially from the prior structural picture.

Sustained drops worth naming

Motor Vehicle Theft ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 26% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.