Seattle Crime Rate — April 2025

Cascade other larceny rose sharply this month, registering the strongest single signal in Seattle's April 2025 briefing. No prior lead is carrying over from last month — this is a fresh move. Northeast robbery also came in above trend, making two distinct above-baseline signals in the top five against a broader backdrop that is mostly flat or declining.

Citywide volume is down 2.2% against the prior 12 months — 52,640 incidents vs 53,815. The signal mix is dominated by sustained shifts: 28 sustained-shift signals across 20 neighborhoods, with just 2 spikes, 2 drops, and 12 zero-event signals. Central Area homicide appears as a rare-event signal, worth tracking but based on small absolute counts.

This month reads as structurally stable with two localized exceptions. The Cascade and Northeast moves are new this briefing and haven't yet repeated enough to confirm a direction. With 28 sustained-shift signals and the citywide total holding close to last year's pace, the underlying pattern from prior months is largely intact.

Sustained drops worth naming

Motor Vehicle Theft ran below trend in the trailing 12 months — 28% down from the year before. Sustained shifts often precede a baseline reset; we surface them at the same prominence as spikes.